Groundhog Day puts Punxsutawney Phil's forecast about winter's length in the spotlight

PUNXSUTAWNEY, Pa. — As the U.S. grapples with a chilly winter, anticipation builds for Punxsutawney Phil’s annual weather prediction on Monday. This famous groundhog’s “forecast” will reveal whether we can expect more cold weeks or an early spring.

Traditionally, if Phil sees his shadow upon emerging from his burrow in rural Pennsylvania, it signals six more weeks of winter. Conversely, if there’s no shadow, an early spring is supposedly on the horizon.

Groundhog Club handler A.J. Dereume holds Punxsutawney Phil, the weather prognosticating groundhog, during the 137th celebration of Groundhog Day on Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney, Pa., Feb. 2, 2023.
Groundhog Club handler A.J. Dereume holds Punxsutawney Phil, during the 137th celebration of Groundhog Day on Gobbler’s Knob in Punxsutawney, Pa., Feb. 2, 2023.AP Photo/Barry Reeger, File

Thousands are expected to gather at Gobbler’s Knob to witness this storied event, which dates back over a century and is rooted in ancient European agricultural customs. The celebration gained widespread fame after the release of the 1993 film “Groundhog Day” starring Bill Murray.

Last year, Phil predicted six more weeks of winter, a common outcome that surprises few during early February. The Punxsutawney Groundhog Club, adorned in top hats, claims to interpret Phil’s “groundhogese” — a mix of winks, purrs, chatters, and nods — to deliver his weather prediction.

Phil isn’t the only animal weather forecaster on this day; various Groundhog Day events, both formal and informal, take place across the U.S., Canada, and internationally.

The celebration of Groundhog Day, held on February 2, marks the halfway point between the winter solstice and the spring equinox. This date also holds significance in the Celtic calendar and the Christian observance of Candlemas.

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