CA gas prices set to surge — and it’s unrelated to Iran

This spring, California motorists are encountering yet another reason for the uptick in gas prices, and it’s not linked to geopolitical tensions or reductions in oil production. The primary factor driving this increase is the transition to summer-blend gasoline, a seasonal change that traditionally sends prices soaring in the Golden State as summer approaches.

Marie Dodds, the Public Affairs Director for AAA Oregon/Idaho, explains, “Gas prices are climbing as refineries undergo maintenance ahead of the switch to summer-blend fuel. The uncertainty lies in how ongoing geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran might further affect crude oil prices, potentially leading to additional volatility at the pumps, alongside the usual springtime increases.”

California refineries are already in the process of making this transition, marking the state as the first in the nation to adopt this more costly, environmentally-friendly gasoline. The switch typically results in higher fuel costs due to several factors, including the maintenance of refineries, reduced output, and the increased expense of producing summer-blend gasoline.

According to the American Automobile Association, although crude oil prices have remained relatively stable, the transition to the summer blend has exerted extra pressure on prices, particularly on the West Coast. This seasonal fuel, designed with a lower Reid Vapor Pressure (RVP), is crucial for reducing evaporation during the hotter months, thereby addressing air pollution in California’s warmer climate, as highlighted in a press release from AAA.

The changeover typically leads to higher prices at the pump due to a combination of factors, including refinery maintenance, reduced output, and the higher cost of producing summer-blend fuel, according to the American Automobile Association, In addition, while crude oil prices have been relatively stable, the switch to summer-blend has put additional pressure on West Coast prices.

Summer-blend gasoline is formulated with a lower Reid Vapor Pressure (RVP) to reduce evaporation during hotter temperatures, a key requirement to combat air pollution in California’s warmer months, the press release from AAA says.

While it’s good for the environment, it also makes the gasoline more expensive to produce.

For example, while gas prices on the East Coast are relatively stable for now, California drivers are already feeling the pinch. California has the highest gas prices in the nation, with an average of $4.59 per gallon as of mid-February 2026 — well above the national average of $2.92 per gallon. according to AAA.

The switch to summer-blend gasoline isn’t unique to California, but it does affect the state more immediately.

While other states begin making the switch closer to May 1, California refineries start the process much earlier, with some areas requiring summer-blend fuel as soon as April 1.

California’s strict environmental regulations and its unique market dynamics mean the state’s drivers are the first to feel the pain of the changeover.

The average price of regular gas in California has risen by 38 cents from January to February 2026.

In addition to the seasonal transition, crude oil prices have seen fluctuations, although they’re not as volatile as they were last year. Crude oil prices briefly peaked at $65 per barrel in January 2026, and while they’ve since dipped to $62, they remain higher than the typical winter price ranges of $55 to $60.

The summer-blend fuel switch, compounded by rising tensions from the war in Iran and the strategic importance of the Strait of Hormuz, has already pushed gas prices higher and could lead to even more volatility at the pump.

If you’re in California, brace for higher gas prices in the coming months.

The switch to summer-blend fuel, combined with refinery slowdowns, will likely keep prices elevated throughout the spring and summer. Gas prices, already averaging $4.59 per gallon, could climb further, and with geopolitical tensions potentially impacting crude oil prices, volatility is expected.

Don’t expect relief until the fall, when winter-blend gasoline returns — likely in time for the holidays.


Download The California Post App, follow us on social, and subscribe to our newsletters

California Post News: Facebook, Instagram, TikTok, X, YouTube, WhatsApp, LinkedIn
California Post Sports Facebook, Instagram, TikTok, YouTube, X
California Post Opinion
California Post Newsletters: Sign up here!
California Post App: Download here!
Home delivery: Sign up here!
Page Six Hollywood: Sign up here!


You May Also Like

Trump Says UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer Will Resign, Wishes Him Well Amid Political Future Speculation

U.S. President Donald Trump said Sunday in a post on Truth Social…
Southwest jet struck by ground equipment vehicle at Memphis airport

Southwest Flight Struck by Ground Vehicle on Memphis Airport Tarmac

A Southwest Airlines aircraft was hit by a ground service vehicle while…
F-16 fighter jet intercepts civilian plane in restricted airspace over Maryland

F-16 Scrambles to Intercept Civilian Aircraft Flying in Restricted Maryland Airspace

A U.S. F-16 fighter jet was scrambled Saturday afternoon to intercept a…

WHCD Shooting Suspect Cole Allen Loses Fight to Remove Top Prosecutors from Case

A federal judge on Monday declined to disqualify Acting Attorney General Todd…
Iran's unprecedented 'whole-regime' delegation at US deal talks signals one goal: expert

Iran’s Unprecedented Full-Regime Delegation to U.S. Talks Signals a Singular Aim, Expert Says

The size and makeup of Iran’s delegation at Switzerland’s first round of…
House Republicans issue contempt threat against ActBlue after Dem fundraiser refuses to turn over hundreds of documents

House Republicans Threaten ActBlue With Contempt Over Refusal to Provide Fundraising Documents

WASHINGTON — The Republican chairs of three House committees on Monday warned…
Meloni's spat with Trump is calculated strategy to boost her approval ratings: expert

Giorgia Meloni’s Trump Clash Is a Calculated Popularity Play, Expert Says

Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s widening clash with President Donald Trump is…
Trump plan would increase citizenship application fee by $570

Citizenship Applicants Could Pay $570 More Under Trump Fee Proposal

The Trump administration on Monday introduced a proposal that would make applying…
Elon Musk 'needs to answer' for 4.5M kids 'sentenced to death' over DOGE cuts, Ro Khanna argues

Ro Khanna Says Elon Musk Must Answer for DOGE Cuts That Put 4.5M Children at Risk of Death

Rep. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., said Saturday that Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon…
Southwest jet struck by ground equipment vehicle at Memphis airport

Southwest Airlines Jet Hit by Ground Equipment Vehicle at Memphis Airport

A Southwest Airlines aircraft was hit by a ground equipment vehicle Sunday…
Rabbi accuses Mamdani of inciting violence, antisemitism during campaign speech

Rabbi Claims Mamdani Campaign Remarks Incited Antisemitism and Violence

Mayor Zohran Mamdani is facing sharp criticism from Jewish leaders and pro-Israel…
Chicago families mark Father's Day with reflection, celebration, community events Sunday

Chicago Families Honor Father’s Day With Celebrations, Reflection and Community Events

CHICAGO (WLS) — Father’s Day was observed in a variety of ways…