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Despite Tottenham Hotspur’s growing concerns about a potential relegation from the Premier League, Opta’s supercomputer predicts the team will not descend into the Championship this season.
On Sunday, Spurs experienced a heavy 3-0 defeat at home against Nottingham Forest, heightening fears of relegation for the first time since 1977. The loss leaves Igor Tudor’s squad in 17th place, precariously just one point above West Ham, who are in the 18th spot.
Tottenham’s last victory in the league was against Crystal Palace on December 28, marking a winless streak of 13 games. Under Tudor’s leadership in the Premier League, the team has secured only one point from five matches.
Opta’s analysis indicates that Tottenham faces a 27.10% chance of relegation, whereas West Ham’s chances are significantly higher at 57.48%.
Nottingham Forest’s recent success in North London has dramatically improved their standing. Vitor Pereira’s team now holds a mere 8.74% probability of dropping back to the Championship, a league they last exited in 2022.
Opta’s supercomputer believes that Tottenham will avoid relegation by one point this season
Igor Tudor’s side are one point clear of the drop after Sunday’s humbling by Nottingham Forest
Meanwhile, Leeds United has a 6.80% chance of being relegated to the second tier. Crystal Palace also remains in the conversation, but the likelihood of a dramatic fall for Oliver Glasner’s team is minimal, calculated at just 0.05%.
Wolves have a 99.94 per cent chance, meaning their relegation is all but certain as per the data, with Burnley’s verdict similarly damning at 99.89 per cent.
In their final seven games, Spurs face trips to Sunderland, Wolves, Aston Villa and Chelsea, with their three home matches coming against Brighton, Leeds and Everton.
The Opta model has also given a predicted points total, with Wolves expected to finish bottom of the Premier League on 25 points, one point behind Burnley on 26.
West Ham are predicted to amass 37 points, with Tottenham on 38, Forest on 41, Leeds on 42 and Palace on 48.
Speaking after Sunday’s humbling defeat, Bruno Saltor, Tottenham’s assistant coach who was filling in for Tudor, tried to remain upbeat despite the challenging situation.
‘Every mistake right now is going against us, every detail is going against us and it affects the players as well,’ he said.
‘You can see how much they are fighting. We are in a difficult situation, everyone knows. In the first half we were the better team and we need to be consistent with that.
| Team | Points tally | Chance of relegation (per cent) |
|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace (14th) | 48 | 0.05 |
| Leeds (15th) | 42 | 6.80 |
| Nottingham Forest (16th) | 41 | 8.74 |
| Tottenham (17th) | 38 | 27.10 |
| West Ham (18th) | 37 | 57.48 |
| Burnley (19th) | 26 | 99.89 |
| Wolves (20th) | 25 | 99.94 |
The supercomputer claimed West Ham will take the third relegation spot alongside Wolves and Burnley
‘We were 1-0 down and wanted to be a little more aggressive with players coming back from injuries. It didn’t work as planned but it was our intention.
‘It hurts us, it is painful, really painful, but the fans were outstanding today – from before the game until the end of the game.’
Saltor continued: ‘We need to carry on because we care, we care for Spurs, we are family and want to get out of this situation.
‘I am 100 per cent sure we can get through this situation.’
Spurs do have a three-week break before their next fixture and Tudor, if he remains in the role, will hope to welcome back the likes of Mohamed Kudus and Rodrigo Bentancur from injury over the international break.
Meanwhile, the supercomputer also predicted that Arsenal will win the title, while it backed Man City, Man United, Aston Villa and Liverpool to make up the top five.