Schwimmer's sitting duck: LSEG boss looks out of his depth - now the sharks are circling, says RUTH SUNDERLAND
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The significant drop in the London Stock Exchange Group’s (LSEG) share price has left it vulnerable to activist investors like Elliott.

LSEG’s challenges include concerns that artificial intelligence could disrupt its data and analytics division, alongside a slowdown in new share listings, though this situation is beginning to improve.

CEO David Schwimmer faces scrutiny over the 2021 acquisition of Refinitiv for £21 billion. This purchase transformed LSEG from a UK-focused exchange to a global leader in data and analytics.

Currently, around 70% of LSEG’s revenue comes from data and analytics, with the remaining 30% from capital markets.

Critics argue that the exchange overpaid for assets that Thomson Reuters and Blackstone were eager to sell. Consequently, LSEG’s shares have fallen below their value at the time of the acquisition.

Elliott, a well-known and resolute US activist investor, is unlikely to show leniency towards Schwimmer or LSEG’s current challenges.

AI threat: London Stock Exchange Group chief exec David Schwimmer (pictured) has seen shares fall by more than 35% over the past year

AI threat: London Stock Exchange Group chief exec David Schwimmer (pictured) has seen shares fall by more than 35% over the past year

Hyperactive would be more accurate, given its interventions at GSK, Smiths Group, Anglo American, AkzoNobel and BP, where former chief executive Murray Auchincloss recently headed for the exit. The fact that Elliott has intervened looks ominous for Schwimmer.

It hasn’t said what it wants to happen at the LSEG, though it is reported not to be pushing to spin off the exchange side.

The question remains as to whether the LSEG as a whole is greater than the sum of its parts.

Ironically, since the Stock Exchange abandoned its traditional mutual structure in 2000 and floated on its own market a year later, it has rarely been free of bidders, activists and assorted corporate pests.

The formidable Dame Clara Furse, who was chief executive in the noughties, stood for no nonsense.

She fought off an extraordinary string of hostile takeover attempts between 2004 and 2007 from Deutsche Boerse, Nasdaq, Macquarie and Euronext. It’s enough to induce nostalgia for her at the helm.

Sell, sell, sell

Another day, another AI tool and another lot of companies caught in a sell-off, whether they deserve it or not.

Wealth management firms are the latest targets, following hits to LSEG, Relx, comparison websites and insurers, based on fear that AI tools will torpedo profits.

Altruist Corp’s tool claims to help advisers devise personal tax strategies. One critical issue here is AI’s propensity for mistakes and hallucinations. 

As an experiment, I asked ChatGPT to model a couple of financial planning scenarios.

It made numerous errors: wrong tax rates, ignored pension rules and omitted National Insurance Contributions.

I spotted the nonsense, but anyone without the relevant knowledge could have been badly misled.

There are people with modest assets who cannot access affordable advice, and AI might reduce the cost of generic guidance. 

But it cannot provide real personal financial counsel, which is as much about psychology as facts and figures.

Only humans can do that and the need for flesh and blood wealth managers will probably grow as more people retire on stock market-linked pensions. 

AI clearly has the potential to disrupt business models in many industries.

But the current selling feels indiscriminate. Has there been any rational assessment of what these tools do, how well they work or how widely they will be adopted? One suspects not.

That is not to say the sell-offs should be dismissed: such jumpy behaviour is an indication nerves are very frayed indeed.

Idle hands

Business leaders are wary of speaking out about idleness, for fear of seeming callous and of upsetting the Government.

So it was refreshing to hear Ashwin Prasad, the boss of Tesco UK, say that the UK is sleepwalking into a quiet epidemic of worklessness.

As he correctly points out, instead of investing in what might stimulate growth, we are spending more on benefits, while pushing up taxes on those who work.

More than 9m people of working age are out of the job market, classed as ‘economically inactive’. 

Nearly 1m people aged 16-24 neither work, nor are in education or training – unsustainable for the economy and harmful to those concerned.

Well said, Mr Prasad! You have spoken out loud what many are thinking.

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