With the Democratic challengers for Georgia’s two Senate seats claiming a slight lead in the most recent polls, voting rights activist Stacey Abrams, who has been credited with crucial organizing that led to President-elect Joe Biden’s overall win in Georgia, said Sunday that absentee ballot requests show the Democratic Party is in a strong position to win the January runoff elections that will determine control of the Senate.
“We know by the numbers that we’re in a good place,” Abrams told CNN’s State of the Union on Sunday morning.
Abrams, who has been involved in drumming up enthusiasm for the Democratic Party–particularly among minority voters—since narrowly losing Georgia’s 2018 gubernatorial race, said that there is evidence of massive interest among demographics prone to vote Democratic.
According to Abrams, over 1.2 million Georgians have requested absentee ballots, which is just 100,000 less than the number requested in the state for the general election.
“Of that 1.2 million, 85,000 are from voters who did not vote in the general election and they are disproportionately between the ages of 18 and 29 and disproportionately people of color,” said Abrams, explaining that these ballot request signal enthusiasm for Democratic candidates Jon Ossoff and Rev. Raphael Warnock, who are competing against Republican incumbents Sens. Kelly Loeffler and David Perdue.
Abrams also touched on the mixed messaging from the Republican Party regarding the Senate runoffs: with President Trump still insisting he was unfairly robbed of victory in the general election, the clearest argument for their importance (that losing the seats would give Democrats control of the chamber since Vice President-elect Kamala Harris would cast the deciding vote in the case of a party-line vote) is a tacit acknowledgment of Trump’s loss.
Calling the election disinformation coming from Trump’s camp “deeply problematic,” Abrams said she doesn’t know whether the president will “help or hurt his team.”
“Democrats are prepared to win this election because this is the first runoff where we have the level of investment and engagement that it takes to win,” said Abrams.
An average of polls on the Georgia runoffs compiled by data-focused news site FiveThirtyEight puts Ossoff ahead of Purdue by 1 point and Warnock ahead of Loeffler by 1.6 points. However, pollsters warn against putting too much stock in these limited measures of public opinion, which FiveThirtyEight stresses in the case of the Georgia runoffs do not account for non-polling factors like base partisanship in the state, candidate quality and demographics. While polling favors the Democratic candidates, bettors are putting their money on Republicans maintaining control of the Senate. PredictIt, one of few legal platforms in the U.S. for betting on elections, has Purdue and Loeffler’s chances of winning at 70%, though bettors on this platform did not predict Biden’s win in the state.
Source: Forbes – Business