August Update from Colorado State University Confirms Active Hurricane Season Prediction

ORLANDO, Fla. – At 11 a.m. today, the team of tropical meteorologists led by Dr. Phil Klotzbach from Colorado State University unveiled their forecast for the rest of the 2025 hurricane season. They persist in predicting a busier-than-usual season.

This forecast boasts a higher degree of accuracy compared to previous predictions we have been reviewing since April.

In meteorological terms, “skill” refers to the reliability and precision of the data presented. Predictions made early in the year, like April, for a season starting in June and ending in November, typically have reduced accuracy due to the extended time frame they cover.

Conversely, a forecast made closer to the date, like a few days or weeks ahead, inherently has a higher likelihood of being precise or nearly so.

Phil has highlighted in past conversations that attention should shift more towards forthcoming predictions rather than the April outlook. Many media sources focus on the April prediction as it is the initial one for the year, setting expectations for the season.

In their August update, they have stuck to the numbers and projections made in July. They foresee an addition of 12 named storms on top of the four already noted, including Tropical Storm Dexter.

Among those 12 extra storms, eight are forecast to strengthen into hurricanes, and three of those hurricanes are likely to strengthen into Category 3 status or higher, making them major hurricanes.

We’ve yet to see our first hurricane in the Atlantic to date. This could very well be changing over the next week or two, but we’ll save those details for a different story altogether.

I want to also add they’ve maintained their probabilities of a named storm, a hurricane, or even a major hurricane, coming within 50 miles of us in Central Florida. Right now, the odds are 89% greater than or equal to the possibility that at least a tropical storm passes close by. The odds of a hurricane giving us a close shave sit around 61%.

This is a stark reminder as we quickly approach the climatological peak of the season that you’re running out of time to have a plan in place if a storm does decide to throw us Floridians in its crosshairs. It’s much safer to have a plan blueprinted early versus improvising at the last minute.

Does a professional athlete wait a week or two before their big day to train and prepare? No, they’re getting ready year-round or, at a minimum, going through a training camp. Why should we treat a hurricane season any different?

We’ve built for you an abundance of critical and educational information on how you can equip your property, pets, and especially your loved ones before the storm heads our way. Click here for more.