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Home Local news Expected Development of the Next Named Storm This Weekend
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Expected Development of the Next Named Storm This Weekend

    The next named storm of the hurricane season is likely to develop this weekend
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    Published on 22 August 2025
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    We can now confidently state that Hurricane Erin is nearing its end. Since Thursday, it has begun shifting from a well-formed tropical system to a more diffuse area of low pressure. While this may suggest a weakening, significant coastal effects will persist, albeit far from us in Central Florida.

    After a certain point, tropical systems are just no longer tropical. They make it so far north they begin to interact with different types of air, features, and the jet stream. Erin as a hurricane is on its last leg as of today. (Copyright 2025 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.)

    As we bid farewell to the hurricane that defined August, our focus quickly shifts to the next development in the Atlantic basin.

    The National Hurricane Center identified Invest 90L on Thursday, and as predicted, the likelihood of its formation has steadily increased since then.

    According to the 8 a.m. update from the NHC, there is now an 80% chance of development in the next two days, and a nearly 90% chance over the next seven days. Their discussion notes that a tropical depression could emerge at any moment.

    Let’s not forget we have another active area of investigation, 99L, right behind 90L. This one is an interesting player on the board, and we can’t take our eyes off of it simply because it hasn’t performed. (Copyright 2025 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.)

    Forecast models consistently suggest that these clusters of showers and storms will develop into a tropical storm. Although the satellite view isn’t particularly striking, the evident rotation in wind patterns indicates the early formation of a low-pressure center.

    By Saturday, if not the latest Sunday, pending how the pocket of energy fares through the day Friday, I fully anticipate Fernand to be designated.

    The key takeaway here is that Erin’s gradual movement has created a path in our Atlantic high-pressure pattern, allowing this impending storm to safely move out to sea.

    Our track models are in fair good agreement this will continue more northerly away from the Caribbean and the United States over the next 3-5 days (Copyright 2025 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.)

    It should not influence the weather in our island neighbors of the Caribbean as much as Erin did either, because of this northward turn. It will move north and eventually back eastward much faster than Erin did.

    Bermuda, however, could be in for some sporty weather as it approaches from the south.

    I also want to briefly touch on 99L back behind 90L (I know, I know, there’s L’s and numbers flying around everywhere. That’s peak season for ya!)

    Yesterday the feature was a bit healthier looking, with more thunderstorms and moisture isolated to where a broad low pressure center is attempting to form. Today it’s a bit stretched out, but the evident turning in the winds shows that our area is still trying to get going (Copyright 2025 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.)

    While computer models are not jazzed about this second tropical disturbance at all, the trends have been very interesting to watch. This is a system that was supposed to have “poofed” this past Wednesday.

    Yet it continues to hold its own as it works westward through the tropical Atlantic. Dry air does seem to be getting a hold of it today, as well as some upper-level wind shear helping to pick apart the once more organized clouds and storms.

    Our “Hail Mary” storm of the month could come in the form of 99L, an invest that’s been with us for a few days now and actually took on the appearance of a healthy tropical storm for a little while. Track models suggest a westerly path into the Caribbean where it could encounter more conducive conditions to fire back up. (Copyright 2025 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.)

    But the National Hurricane Center has extended the formation zone a bit further westward towards the Lesser Antilles. If a weak batch of clouds and moisture can persist, the more it meanders into the Caribbean, it will find a better environment to maybe throw a Hail Mary down the field before August finishes up.

    It’s a low potential for now, and we have several days to watch as it continues its voyage. But just something I wanted everyone to keep on their radar!

    Daily Forecast

    The News 6 Weather team ensures you’re always on top of the day’s weather.

    Copyright 2025 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.

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