Analyzing Georgia's political future: Atlanta Bureau Chief explains
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ATLANTA () – Georgia, historically a strong Republican stronghold, has recently become a more politically competitive state, showing signs of both Democratic and Republican influence that will significantly affect the country’s political dynamics in coming elections.

In 2020, former President Joe Biden’s victory in Georgia against Donald Trump challenged the state’s traditional political leanings. Alongside Georgia, other key swing states like Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin turned blue in 2020 but switched back to red by 2024.

For politicians and presidential hopefuls, Georgia’s new status as a battleground state underscored its importance in securing a path to the White House. Biden secured Georgia’s 16 electoral votes in the 2020 election, but Trump reclaimed them in 2024, highlighting the state’s evolving political landscape. 

Former gubernatorial candidate Stacey Abrams, who lost to Governor Brian Kemp twice, played a pivotal role in flipping both of Georgia’s U.S. Senate seats blue. However, she was unsuccessful running for governor, losing to Kemp in 2022 and 2018. Governor Kemp is term limited in the next election cycle. 

The gubernatorial race in Georgia is already heating up with State Senator Jason Esteves and former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms throwing their hats into the ring.  Bottoms says she plans to expand Medicaid and tap federal dollars to help uninsured and underinsured Georgians get healthcare coverage.  

On the Republican side, Attorney General Chris Carr is the sole candidate at the moment, but there’s speculation that Lieutenant Governor Burt Jones may enter that race or the U.S. Senate Race. Political experts say that current Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger could also be a strong contender on the Republican side. Insurance Commissioner John King has also said he will run for the U.S. Senate race against Sen. Jon Ossoff in 2026.

With a slew of candidates, the gubernatorial and senate races in 2026 face a potential run off race if a candidate does not secure one more than 50% of the votes.

As for the Democrats, while no potential contenders for president are expected from Georgia, there is widespread speculation that former Vice President Kamala Harrs may run again.  Harris may also run for the Governor of California. Other potential Democratic candidates include California Governor Gavin Newsom, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. 

Georgia is also a crucial state for Republicans to maintain their current three seat majority in the U.S. Senate. While political analysts say Kemp had a strong shot to defeat Ossoff, they are now keeping a close watch on the peach state to try to secure another seat in the Senate if Georgia flips red for the Senate race.

In the meantime, Georgia voters will likely see more political ads, texts and campaign stops in the months ahead for both the gubernatorial race and the U.S. Senate race in 2026. And once that is done, it will be a full race ahead to the 2028 election season. 

Will Kemp run for president or leave the political arena? His decision will likely be a key factor in what Georgia voters decide in the coming years and have a great impact on the national landscape. 

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