StormTeam 3: More rain today keeps increased flooding risk

Hi there – Storm Team 3 Meteorologist Alysa Carlsye here – let’s have a fabulous Wednesday!

Once again, this afternoon and evening, we’re anticipating numerous soaking rain showers and thunderstorms. With the stalled front still stretched across the region, storms will move slowly. Coupled with the significant rain we’ve experienced since last weekend, there’s an increased risk of localized flooding for the afternoon. Expected rainfall totals today are around 1-2″ with some areas seeing even higher amounts. Storms may be quite intense with strong gusty winds. The chance of rain will be highest through the afternoon and evening. 

Weekend Rain Forecast

A low-pressure system will form along the stalled front in the Atlantic Ocean and is expected to move toward the East Coast by week’s end. This development could increase our chances of rain for the weekend. Models are beginning to suggest a trend of the system moving more north toward coastal North Carolina or remaining off its coast. A more northern track will keep scattered storms around this weekend, while a southern track may result in a higher chance of a washout. We will continue to monitor it over the next few days. As of this morning, scattered showers and storms are expected throughout the day, with weekend highs reaching the mid to upper 80s.

TROPICS UPDATE

  • Tropical Storm Dexter has sustained winds of 45 mph and continues to track to the east-northeast in the Atlantic Ocean.
  • The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two tropical waves, both with a medium chance of tropical development over the next 7 days.
    • The first wave is the area of low pressure off our coast. This system is currently only producing limited showers and storms and any development is expected to be slow over the next few days. A tropical depression could form as it drifts north along the east coast.
    • The second wave is way out in the Atlantic Ocean and is expected to have gradual development over the next few days. A tropical depression could form over the weekend.

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