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Home Local news What is the expected rainfall for Central Florida from this Gulf storm?
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What is the expected rainfall for Central Florida from this Gulf storm?

    How much rain will Central Florida receive from this Gulf low?
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    In the lead-up to this significant weather occurrence, Central Florida experienced a prolonged stretch of minimal to nonexistent rainfall, causing our drought conditions to edge towards severe intensities for some areas.

    April was notably marked by a resurgence of 90-degree heat that lingered, coupled with clear skies, exacerbating the risk of brushfires along with the summer temperatures.

    Radar shows an active set up across Central Florida. We’ve had one severe thunderstorm warning so far, and this could continue into the early evening hours. The polygons pictured are special weather statements for gusty winds (Copyright 2025 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.)

    This scenario is swiftly shifting. A low-pressure system is currently stalled over the southeastern United States. We find ourselves on its eastern side, which is channeling a substantial amount of moisture and precipitation across Florida’s peninsula.

    One could say this is a Gulf “atmospheric river” set up, since the low itself isn’t projected to fully vacate our area for another three days give or take. So rain chances will only stay where they are, if not go UP for a lot of us during our Mother’s Day and the first day of the new week ahead.

    Computer models are locked on in terms of our rainfall totals as well. Total precipitation amounts are usually fairly tricky to pinpoint until we’ve reached two to three days before a major event such as this. It’s even more difficult to calculate when we’re looking at general thunderstorms developing during the warmest parts of the day, and relaxing with the setting of the sun.

    A good majority of Central Florida will see an average of 2-3 inches of rain once this is all said and done. Isolated areas of the peninsula could pile up 3-4 inches with some of our heavier thunderstorms forecast to still occur during Mother’s Day and Monday before this set up pushes away from us.

    Mother’s Day shall be characterized by rains and the potential for severe thunderstorms during the afternoon/early evening hours all thanks to our storm system off the west coast (Copyright 2025 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.)

    This does come with a twist as well – severe thunderstorms. While the environment is not entirely conducive for tornadic development, we have plenty of ingredients to spark strong, gusty winds within these thunderstorms as well as create some hail.

    We’re tracking the greatest potential for severe thunderstorms to make an appearance being later into your Mother’s Day holiday, sometime around late afternoon towards early evening. So definitely take advantage of any outdoor festivities you may have planned for Mom before the storms really settle in.

    Enjoy the first half of your Mothers day, get outside and get some sunshine before the rains and storms build in for the second half of the holiday (Copyright 2025 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.)

    On that note, enjoy this rain while you can too! Make sure you take this time to help your lawns and gardens at home too while the soil is still moist.

    We’re shifting gears dramatically once again from a very wet and rainy pattern to drying out for the middle portions of the month of May (Copyright 2025 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.)

    Long-range data suggests we’re about to flip back into a dry pattern for the meat and potatoes of May. Climate Prediction Center is on board with their latest rainfall outlook showing below average chances we pick up anymore big time rains mid May.

    Copyright 2025 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.

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