Analysts Shift House Predictions Heavily In Favor of Republicans
Share this @internewscast.com


Analysts from the Cook Political Report, who predict the probable outcome for U.S. House of Representatives races, released its newest round of predictions on Thursday, moving ten districts heavily in favor of the Republican incumbent or candidate versus the Democrat.

This week, Cook shifted 12 race predictions in total — ten races in favor of Republicans and two races in favor of Democrats — while there are now 35 seats overall across the county that are considered to be “toss-up” or worse for the incumbent.

The 12 districts that Cook changed were:

  • Rep. Greg Stanton (D) in Arizona’s Fourth Congressional District went from “Likely Democrat” to “Leans Democrat.”
  • Rep. Young Kim (R) in California’s Fortieth Congressional District went from “Likely Republican” to “Leans Republican.”
  • Rep. Mike Levin (D) in California’s Forty-Ninth Congressional District went from “Likely Democrat” to “Leans Democrat.”
  • Rep. Joe Courtney (D) in Connecticut’s Second Congressional District went from “Solid Democrat” to “Likely Democrat.”
  • Rep. Jahana Hayes (D) in Connecticut’s Fifth Congressional District went from “Likely Democrat” to “Leans Democrat.”
  • Rep. Lauren Underwood (D) in Illinois’ Fourteenth Congressional District went from “Leans Democrat.” to “Likely Democrat.”
  • Minnesota’s First Congressional District, Vacant but previously held by a Republican, went from “Likely Republican” to “Solid Republican.”
  • Rep. Dina Titus (D) in Nevada’s First Congressional District went from “Likely Democrat” to “Toss-up.”
  • Oregon’s Fifth Congressional District, an open seat currently held by a Democrat, went from “Leans Democrat.” to “Toss-up.”
  • Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R) in Pennsylvania’s First Congressional District from “Likely Republican” to “Solid Republican.”
  • Rep. Susan Wild (D) in Pennsylvania’s Seventh Congressional District from “Toss-up” to “Leans Republican.”
  • Rep. Scott Perry (R) in Pennsylvania’s Tenth Congressional District from “Likely Republican” to “Solid Republican.

Cook also shifted its outlook on the midterm elections, noting that the net Republican gains could be between 20 and 35 seats — while the Republicans only need to net five to take back the House.

The prediction report acknowledged that part of its change is due to President Joe Biden’s average approval rating remaining underwater in dozens of districts he took during the 2020 presidential election while the country goes through soaring inflation rates, record gas prices, and a baby formula shortage, all while the president’s Build Back Better legislative agenda has stalled.

“As the parties navigate primaries and begin polling and placing fall ad buys, Republicans’ House advantage looks as robust as ever,” Cook said, also mentioning that independent voters are being increasingly concerned about inflation. A recent CBS News/You Gov poll revealed that only 34 percent of independents in the United States approve of how Biden is handling his job as president.

All of this comes roughly six months before the midterm elections in November, and while the country is in the middle of the primary season where Biden’s endorsement has a lackluster effect on candidates.

Jacob Bliss is a reporter for Breitbart News. Write to him at [email protected] or follow him on Twitter @JacobMBliss.



Share this @internewscast.com
You May Also Like

31-Year-Old Orlando Man Hit And Killed While Riding Bike In Polk County

POLK COUNTY, Fla. – A 31-year-old Orlando man riding a bicycle was…

Blake Masters Urges ‘Pro-Life, Pro-Family Culture’ in Post-Roe America

Arizona Republican Blake Masters is pushing for policies that encourage young Americans…

Explorers find WWII Navy destroyer, deepest wreck discovered

MANILA – A U.S. Navy destroyer that engaged a superior Japanese fleet…

Vinyl record sales soar, outpacing supply

Dozens of record-pressing factories have been built to try to meet demand…

Bomb threat reported at FSCJ’s South Campus in Jacksonville, Fla.

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. — Florida State College at Jacksonville tweeted that it was…

From the Farm: Land price issues

CENTRAL ILLINOIS (WCIA) — University of Illinois ag economist Gary Schnitkey says…

John Hinckley Jr. Apologizes For Shooting Ronald Reagan, 3 Others

WASHINGTON (AP) — The man who wounded President Ronald Reagan in 1981…

24 New Scioto County Grand Jury Indictments – Scioto County Daily News

Shane A. Tieman, Scioto County Prosecutor announced today that the Scioto County…