Singapore posts fastest growth since 2021 as manufacturing drives 5.7% fourth-quarter expansion
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Singapore has clinched the top spot in the 2025 Global Talent Competitiveness Index, a prestigious ranking compiled by INSEAD in collaboration with the Portulans Institute.

In a notable economic milestone, Singapore’s economy grew by 5.7% year-over-year in the fourth quarter, marking the most significant increase since 2021. This surge was primarily fueled by a substantial upturn in manufacturing output during the period spanning October to December.

According to the Ministry of Trade and Industry, the manufacturing sector experienced a remarkable 15% expansion, a considerable acceleration from the 4.9% growth recorded in the third quarter.

The ministry attributed this robust growth predominantly to advancements in the biomedical manufacturing and electronics sectors.

Notably, manufacturing accounts for roughly 20% of Singapore’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP), underscoring its critical role in the nation’s economy.

Manufacturing makes up about 20% of the city-state’s GDP.

Most other sectors contracted during the quarter, including construction and services.

The advance estimate was higher than the revised 4.3% growth in the previous quarter, lifting full-year GDP growth to 4.8%, as announced by Prime Minister Lawrence Wong in his New Year’s message.

The 4.8% growth had surpassed the country’s Ministry of Trade and Industry’s upgraded forecast of “around 4%” in November.

“This is a better outcome than we expected, given the circumstances,” Wong said, while warning that sustaining the current pace of growth would be challenging.

Singapore’s MTI had forecast a GDP growth figure of about 1%-3% for 2026.

Selena Ling, Chief Economist & Head of Group Research & Strategy at OCBC, said that Singapore’s GDP performance “showcased economic resilience through broad-based and diversified strengths in manufacturing, services, and construction.”

Ling projected GDP growth of about 2% in 2026, assuming manufacturing growth eases to around 2.2% year on year due to a high base in 2025.

Singapore had earlier cautioned that 2025 would be challenging, citing trade risks after U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration slapped trade tariffs on dozens of countries in his “Liberation Day” on April.

Despite having a free trade agreement with the U.S. since 2004, Singapore was hit with the 10% baseline tariff. Wong said at the time that “these are not actions one does to a friend.”

Singapore is highly dependent on trade, with its trade-to-GDP ratio exceeding 320% in 2024, according to data from the World Bank.

The country also warned in April last year that zero growth was a possibility and eased monetary policy twice in 2025 to prepare for a slowdown.

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