Share this @internewscast.com
As the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) prepares to unveil its new cash rate target on Tuesday, a number of economists and the top four banks are forecasting a reduction of 0.25 percentage points.
This potential change could be good news for mortgage holders who faced uncertainty when the RBA held the rate steady at 3.85 percent during its last meeting.

So what leads economists to believe that a drop to 3.6 percent is almost certain, and how much could you potentially save?

‘No reason to wait’

David Bassanese, chief economist at fund management firm Betashares, told SBS News he is predicting a rate cut at the RBA’s meeting.

One commentator expressed he would be “staggered” if the RBA does not reduce the rate, citing indications of a weakening job market and a positive Q1 CPI (quarter one consumer price index) report.

“I expected them to hold off on the cutting rate in July, but I see no reason to wait now,” Bassanese said.
After previous rate cuts, the big four banks have passed on reduced rates for mortgage holders with variable loans.
Financial comparison site Canstar predicted an owner-occupier on a $500,000 loan could save around $75 per month following a 0.25 percentage point cut.

The larger the loan, the greater the savings.

A chart showing the potential savings a household could gain from an interest rate cut.

An owner-occupier on a $500,000 loan could save around $75 per month following a 0.25 per cent rate cut, according to Canstar. Source: SBS News

Devika Shivadekar, an economist at financial services firm RSM Australia, told SBS News an official rate cut this week should create optimism, with further relief expected in the coming months.

“Last month’s quarterly Consumer Price Index print likely provided the RBA with some comfort leading into this week’s meeting, and we expect to see the cash rate cut by 0.25 per cent to 3.6 per cent,” she said.

The ‘big four’ banks are all forecasting a rate cut on Tuesday. Westpac anticipates a series of four cuts throughout this financial cycle—in August and November, then again in February and May—ultimately reducing the cash rate to 2.85 percent.

A chart showing how many rate cuts the major banks are predicting.

The ‘big four’ banks are all predicting a rate cut on Tuesday. Source: SBS News

Commonwealth Bank and ANZ are estimating a 0.25 percentage point cut in August and another in November, taking the cash rate to 3.35 per cent, while NAB is forecasting 0.25 percentage point cuts in August and November, and another in February, taking the cash rate to 3.10 per cent.

What does it mean for businesses?

Shivadekar said cash rate decisions can have a profound impact on businesses, with large investments and other buying decisions linked closely to RBA movements.
“Uncertainty over US tariffs has left Australian companies, particularly small and medium-sized enterprises, battered and bruised in recent months.
“Data on business performance is mixed, with larger players faring better in this environment than their smaller peers. Overall, though, the global volatility we’ve seen in the second quarter has weighed on investment decisions.”

Share this @internewscast.com
You May Also Like
ACT Policing is urging the mother of the newborn baby to seek medical attention.

Heartbreaking Discovery: Newborn Baby Abandoned at Canberra Fire Station Sparks Urgent Response

Police are looking for dashcam footage after a a newborn baby was…
Police have arrested a 16-year-old boy.

Teenager in Critical Condition After Adelaide Shopping Centre Altercation; One Arrested

A teenager is in critical condition, and a 20-year-old man is seriously…

Olympia’s Maggot Farms in Australia Tackle $36 Billion Global Challenge

With food waste driving a measurable share of Australia’s emissions, efforts to…
The Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Jodie Haydon after getting married today in Canberra.

Inside the Secret Wedding of Anthony Albanese and Jodie Haydon at The Lodge: Exclusive Details Revealed

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has married long-time partner Jodie Haydon in an…
Lucas died after a stabbing in Sydney's Rouse Hill.

Family of Fatally Stabbed Teen Remembers Him as a ‘Loyal Young Man

The parents of a Sydney teenager who tragically lost his life in…

Airbus A320 Recall Alert: Key Details and Implications for Airlines and Passengers

Airbus is warning of potential travel disruption due to upgrades on about…

Trump Challenges Biden’s Autopen Executive Orders: A New Political Showdown Unfolds

In a recent statement, former President Donald Trump announced his intention to…
Thousands swelter without power as mercury soars again across south-east Queensland

Scorching Heatwave Leaves Southeast Queensland Powerless: Thousands Struggle in Rising Temperatures

Almost 3000 homes and businesses were without power in south-east Queensland yesterday…
Neuroblastoma is a deadly cancer that can affect children as young as two-years-old. A new study by the Garvan Institute may have found a drug that can help cure it.

Potential Breakthrough Drug Surfaces for Treating Deadly Childhood Cancer

A medication, already approved for cancer treatment, might now offer a new…
Victoria Police during the search for alleged shooter Dezi Freeman at Mount Buffalo National Park.

Ex-Detective Dismisses Recent Alleged Sighting in Search for Suspected Officer Killer

Nearly three months after the tragic killing of two officers in Victoria’s…
Trump to pardon Honduran president's drug trafficking sentence

Breaking News: Trump Set to Pardon Honduran President in Major Drug Trafficking Case

President Donald Trump said he will be pardoning former Honduran President Juan…

Prime Minister Commends ‘Yes-alition’ as Environmental Reforms Secure Passage Before Parliament Adjourns for the Year

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has happily returned for an extra sitting day…