Generic street scenes in Siidney CBD
Share this @internewscast.com
Australia would suffer a sharp recession under a prolonged war in Iran, according to an Oxford Economics report released as US President Donald Trump declared plans for three more weeks of intensified attacks.
The report ran a scenario where the global conflict continued and kept the Strait of Hormuz disrupted for six months, finding world growth would slow by 1.2 per cent and oil prices would rise above $US150 ($218) per barrel.
This would push global inflation to 7.7 per cent, near the 2022 peak.
Generic street scenes in Siidney CBD
Australia could suffer a sharp recession under a prolonged war in Iran, according to an Oxford Economics report.(AP)

“Gather some long-overdue courage, head to the Strait, and claim it. Safeguard it, and utilize it for your advantage.”

“While avoiding a recession is preferable, if taming inflation proves difficult, we may have to confront such a possibility,” she remarked at the time.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers has tried to downplay the risk of a recession, but has admitted that the longer the global conflict continues, the longer it will take for the economy to recover.

“The more prolonged the shock, the more severe the repercussions on our economy, impacting inflation, growth, and the labor market,” he stated during a press conference yesterday.

“I would like to remind everyone that we’re facing this significant global economic challenge from a position of genuine relative economic strength.”

Australia’s most recent technical recession took place during the initial six months of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, disrupting nearly three decades of continuous economic growth.

Prior to that, the last recession was the “recession we had to have” in the early 1990s.

Before that, the last recession was the “recession we had to have” in the early 1990s.

A recession is most commonly defined as two consecutive quarters of negative growth in real GDP but the RBA notes it can have other, broader elements.

Australia’s latest unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted) was 4.3 per cent in February, rising from 4.1 per cent in January. 

While the figure alone is relatively low, it has been tracking upwards since October 2022.

The highest unemployment rate in the past decade was 7.4 per cent in June 2020 during the pandemic.

NEVER MISS A STORY: Get your breaking news and exclusive stories first by following us across all platforms.

Share this @internewscast.com
You May Also Like
Sammy the seal blocks traffic in Mornington Peninsula

Adorable Seal Snoozes in the Spotlight: Traffic Stalls on Bustling Coastal Route

Drivers passing through Victoria’s Mornington Peninsula were treated to a rare sight…
The thieves were attempting to steal luxury cars and jewellery.

Shocking Melbourne Home Invasion Leaves Two Men Stabbed: What You Need to Know

Two men have been stabbed during a home invasion in Melbourne‘s north-west,…
Police are expected to provide updates throughout the day.

Man Detained and Hospitalized Following Alleged Collision with Dirt Bike Riders

A motorist has been apprehended and hospitalized after purportedly colliding with a…

Artemis II Astronauts Safely Touch Down on Earth, Exiting Capsule After Successful Mission

In brief The Orion capsule splashed down off the coast of California…

Strait of Hormuz: Iran’s Influence on Global Shipping Routes Under Scrutiny

In brief The Strait of Hormuz carries around one-fifth of the world’s…

Iran Articulates Peace Proposals as Negotiators Convene in Pakistan for US Discussions

In brief Iran’s negotiating team has arrived in Pakistan for peace talks…

Iran’s Bold Peace Proposal: Key Demands Unveiled as Historic US-Pakistan Talks Begin

In brief Iran’s negotiating team has arrived in Pakistan for peace talks…

Stark Choices: New Survey Reveals Australians Struggling Between Food and Medicine

In brief A new survey found almost one in five respondents couldn’t…

Australian Backyard Astronomers Achieve World-First Planetary Discovery Through ‘Blips

In Brief Amateur astronomers have discovered a planetary ring around a dwarf…
Vice President JD Vance

Vance Cautions Iran Against Underestimating U.S. Resolve Ahead of Negotiations

US Vice President JD Vance on Friday warned Iran not to “play”…
The new Faces of Death remake starring Barbie Ferreira was shelved for two years and almost didn't make it past censors for release

Unmasking ‘Faces of Death’: The Controversial Revival of the World’s Most Banned Horror Film

A revival of one of the most debated horror films in cinematic…
The man offered a thumbs-up sign to a camera at Sydney Airport.

Alleged Scammer Faces Charges in $150,000 NSW Shopping Centre Fraud

A man, allegedly involved in a Romanian gang that targeted elderly women…