Sinn Fein tops first preference votes in Northern Ireland

Sinn Fein’s President and leader said last night her party will push for an Irish reunification referendum north and south of the border within five years.

The republicans topped the first preference votes in Northern Ireland yesterday evening and are on course to become the largest party in the territory for the first time. 

They received 250,388 first votes, compared with the 184,002 returned for the Democratic Unionist Party, meaning they overtake them in a symbolic result.

Mary Lou McDonald then told TalkTV’s The News Desk of her plan to hold a crucial vote.

‘I believe that we are going to see these referendums and there have to be to bear in mind north and south,’ she said. 

‘In the in the coming years, certainly within this decade, this decade of opportunity. We are going to see constitutional change on the island of Ireland. I believe that that the referendum would be possible within a five-year timeframe.

‘But much more importantly I believe that the preparation needs to start now. 

‘There will be no prize for anyone very their heads in the sand or who will aid even the prospect of a disorderly reunification process we saw at breaks of disorder, lack of planning, lack of understanding, we are not going to repeat those mistakes on the island of Ireland.’

Sinn Fein’s victory is also likely to lead to more political gridlock at the assembly, which was collapsed by the DUP in February as it seeks to overturn Boris Johnson’s Brexit agreement.

Neither Sir Jeffrey Donaldson’s party or the Ulster Unionists have yet agreed to join a power-sharing executive in which Sinn Fein would be able to nominate the First Minister. 

They have argued that a win for Sinn Fein would lead to a referendum on Irish reunification. But Sinn Fein has run its campaign on the cost-of-living crisis.

Sinn Fein have topped the first preference votes in Northern Ireland and are on course to become the largest party in the territory for the first time. Pictured: Party President Lou McDonald (left) and Vice-President Michelle O’Neill (right)

The republicans are forecast to overtake the Democratic Unionist Party in the Northern Ireland Assembly, in what would be a symbolic result.

It could lead to Sinn Fein’s vice president and leader in Northern Ireland, Michelle O’Neill, being nominated as First Minister

Talking about the potential for Sinn Féin to lead the first nationalist government in Northern Ireland, Ms McDonald said: ‘This system was engineered more than a century ago when Ireland was partitioned, to ensure that there would be a perpetual Unionist majority, but it was engineered in such a way to ensure that nationalists and Republicans would not hold eye office and certainly would not hold the First Minister at ship.

‘So, it is more than symbolism now, and, and a huge message of equality and progress, that we are, I hope, and it seems, on the brink of a nationalist or Republican Woman, a progressive woman occupying that the highest office in the land and leading the executive. 

‘And it is therefore very important that our union as partners demonstrate the respect, and the equality that is due to all of us, you know, and they are willing to bear and this is all about sharing.’

Speaking about the influence of Brexit on Sinn Féin’s success, she added: ‘On the issue of the protocol and the checks in the Irish Sea, and so on. Again, that is a consequence of Brexit. 

‘And I have to say, I hate to be the one to say we told you so. But we told them so Brexit was a bad idea. Brexit was potentially catastrophic for Ireland, the protocol was nasty. 

‘In any event, the protocol itself and any changes that they may wish wish to see major, those are matters that will be negotiated between the government in London and the European institutions.

‘Furthermore, there is a joint committee specifically designed to allow the airing of those issues and the resolution of them and by the way, none of them are beyond resolution.’

Neither Sir Jeffrey Donaldson’s (pictured left)  party or the Ulster Unionists have yet agreed to join a power-sharing executive in which Sinn Fein would be able to nominate the First Minister.

Boris Johnson this morning said ‘the most important thing is that we continue to support the balance of the Good Friday Agreement across all communities in Northern Ireland’.

A unionist party has always been the biggest in the Assembly, and previously the Stormont Parliament, since the formation of the state in 1921. 

Last night initial indications showed that turnout was 54 per cent, down from 64.8 per cent at the previous election in 2017. 

Boris Johnson this morning said ‘the most important thing is that we continue to support the balance of the Good Friday Agreement across all communities in Northern Ireland’.

Speaking on a visit to a school in his constituency of Uxbridge and South Ruislip, he was asked by reporters about the possibility of a majority of people in Northern Ireland voting for parties that support the current trading arrangements with the EU, and if he will work with those parties to make the Northern Ireland Protocol work.

Mr Johnson said: ‘The most important thing is that we continue to support the balance of the Good Friday Agreement across all communities in Northern Ireland. That’s what we’re going to do. And whatever arrangements we have, they have got to have cross-community support, that’s what the Good Friday Agreement is all about, that’s what the Government is going to do.

‘But as for the rest… we’ll have to wait and see what the results are in Northern Ireland.’

Conservative Party chairman Oliver Dowden had earlier said he is confident the Government can ‘make the case’ for Northern Ireland remaining in the UK if Sinn Fein is victorious.

Asked on Sky News whether Boris Johnson could become the Prime Minister who oversees the break-up of the United Kingdom, Mr Dowden said: ‘Let’s wait and see what the results are from Northern Ireland.

‘If there is a sustained majority of nationalist opinion in favour of a united Ireland, that would have to be put forward in a referendum.

‘That’s beyond the power of the United Kingdom Government. We would have to allow that to happen were it the case’.

He went on to say: ‘Of course we would honour the provisions of the Good Friday Agreement if that was required, but I’m confident that we will be able to make the case for Northern Ireland remaining in the United Kingdom should that that arise, but I don’t think we’re at that stage’.

A shock poll this week raised the prospect of the DUP slipping into third place in Northern Ireland elections.   

The latest survey on Tuesday found the unionists and the Alliance Party are level behind Sinn Fein ahead of the crunch vote in Thursday.

The republicans remains on course to emerge as the largest force after the ballot for the first time – although their support has dipped from 27 per cent to 26.6 per cent.

But the Institute of Irish Studies/University of Liverpool/Irish News research still put them well ahead of the DUP on 18.2 per cent, down from 20.2 per cent.

Sir Jeffrey Donaldson’s party was in danger of being overhauled by the non-aligned Alliance, headed by Naomi Long, after it surged from 14.6 per cent.

The republicans remains on course to emerge as the largest force after the ballot for the first time – although their support has dipped from 27 per cent to 26.6 per cent.

The Institute of Irish Studies/University of Liverpool/Irish News research put Sinn Fein well ahead of the DUP

The Irish Foreign Affairs Minister has said it could be months until an executive is formed in Northern Ireland after the Assembly election.

Simon Coveney was speaking as counting began in the election, with the first results expected on Friday afternoon.

He said he expected it to be ‘difficult’ to form a powersharing executive.

‘Honestly, I think it will be difficult, because this has been a difficult election and indeed we have seen for a number of years now… a lot of polarisation on certain issues within Northern Ireland politics.’

‘Of course we have the added complication now of a potential change, if you like, in the pecking order, in terms of the possibility of the nationalist party having the highest percentage of the vote and the highest number of seats.’

He predicted a ‘long and tense’ count on Friday, possibly until the weekend.

The Northern Ireland Protocol has cast a long shadow over the election campaign following the resignation of First Minister Paul Givan in February in an effort to force the UK Government to act over the post-Brexit trading arrangements.

This action left the Executive unable to fully function. While ministers remained in post, they were restricted in the actions they could take.

Unionists object to the additional checks on goods arriving in Northern Ireland from Great Britain as a border in the Irish Sea.

Five Assembly seats are up for grabs in 18 constituencies. Northern Ireland uses the single transferable vote (STV) proportional representation electoral system.

The DUP won 28 seats at the last Assembly elections in 2017, just ahead of Sinn Fein which returned 27 MLAs.

Next was the SDLP with 12 seats, the Ulster Unionist Party with 10 seats, Alliance with eight seats, the Green Party with two seats while People Before Profit and the TUV had one MLA each.