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CHINA will soon be able to defeat the US in a war over Taiwan, a top US admiral has warned.
The chilling warning comes amid fears that China is preparing for a full-scale invasion of the island as it masses warships and submarines.
Commander of the US Indo-Pacific Command, Admiral Samuel Paparo, raised the alarm at the McCain Institute’s annual Sedona Forum in Arizona on Friday.
The admiral said that while the US would defeat China in a war over Taiwan now, it may soon lose its advantage, as reported by the Financial Times.
Paparo said: “The United States will prevail in the conflict as it stands now, with the force that we have right now.”
But he added: “Our trajectory on . . . really every force element that is salient is a bad trajectory.”
China has ramped up its production of weapons including warships and submarines – and the US doesn’t seem to be able to keep up.
According to Paparo, for every 1.8 warships made in the US each year China builds an impressive six.
And for every 1.4 submarines made in the US, it builds two.
The warning comes as China continues to expand its military exercises around Taiwan, as fears of an invasion mount.
Paparo heightened concerns over potential aggression by stating that Beijing is conducting exercises covering “the full range of military activities” — ranging from a direct invasion of Taiwan to imposing a naval blockade.
This comes as Taiwan reported at least 19 Chinese warships as well as the large Shandong aircraft carrier patrolling nearby last month.
This marked the biggest number of enemy vessels seen in a 24-hour period since last May – part of China’s chilling war games.
But the US admiral hinted that Taiwan wouldn’t be on their own if China invaded.
When questioned about whether the US would back military action in defense of Taiwan, he replied: “History shows that people often say the US will avoid conflict, but that’s not what history reflects.”
But if China continues to ramp up its weapons production the US may not be able to protect the island.
And China may have more weapons than previously thought.
Why does China want to invade Taiwan?
TAIWAN insists it is an independent nation after splitting from mainland China amid civil war in 1949.
Meanwhile, China asserts that Taiwan is a part of its territory and insists on reunification, leaving open the possibility of using force to bring the island under Beijing’s authority.
The island, which is roughly 100 miles from the coast of south-east China, sees itself as distinct from the Chinese mainland, with its own constitution and democratically-elected leaders.
Taiwan sits in the so-called “first island chain”, which includes a list of US-friendly territories that are crucial to Washington’s foreign policy in the region.
This also puts it in an ideal situation to slow a Chinese attack on the West.
And with tensions between the two nations high, Taiwan is likely to aid China’s enemy if it means keeping its independence.
Taiwan’s economy is another factor in China’s desperation to reclaim the land.
If China takes the island, it could be freer to project power in the western Pacific and rival the US, thanks to much of the world’s electronics being made in Taiwan.
This would allow Beijing to have control over an industry that drives the global economy.
China insists that its intentions are peaceful, but President Xi Jinping has also used threats towards the small island nation.
Google Maps images exposed China’s secret submarine fleet back in April.
The shocking pictures showed six nuke boats massed at a Chinese base.
These included two of the deadly Type 091 submarines, two Type 093A and one chillingly unidentified submarine.
The base – dubbed the First Submarine Base – is located 18km east of Qingdao in the Yellow Sea, meaning there’s easy access to the East China Sea and the Sea of Japan.
Australian independent naval analyst Alex Luck posted the shocking images to X.
In the post, he said that five nuclear-powered subs seen on the base were conventionally armed.
Taiwan insists it is an independent nation after splitting from mainland China amid civil war in 1949.
But China claims Taiwan remains a part of its territory with which it must eventually be reunified – and has not ruled out the use of force to take the island and place it under Beijing’s control.
China insists that its intentions are peaceful, but President Xi Jinping has also waged a “war of words” on the small island nation.
In this years New Year’s address, President Xi said that the people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait are one family.
And he has previously called the independence of Taiwan a futile effort and that annexation by Beijing is a “historical inevitability”.
