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One of Fox News’ most respected business experts has admitted Donald Trump’s tariffs may well cause a recession, hours after providing a cheerier outlook before Monday’s opening bell.
Maria Bartiromo acknowledged the potential economic nightmare live on-air Monday morning, as a ticker next to her face showed the Dow Jones stock index plunging in real-time.
That was just after 9:30am on America’s Newsroom, where host Dana Perino had asked whether everyday Americans would feel the brunt of economic unrest caused by Donald Trump’s tariffs.
A well-known Trump loyalist, the host of Sunday Morning Futures With Maria Bartiromo offered a surprising prognosis.
‘It will have an effect,’ she said, a few hours after saying on the set of her Fox Business show Mornings With Maria she ‘would not be surprised if this market reverses course entirely by the close.’
‘Some things will become higher priced.’
‘We’ll see some products actually be raising price because companies will pass on the cost of tariffs to consumers,’ she continued, speaking to Perino and fellow business reporter Sandra Smith.
‘I would expect it,’ she added of prospective price hikes. ‘That’s why you have some people saying we could see a recession. We’ll see a growth slowdown.’ She went on to cite a forecast from Chief Global Economist at Piper Sandler Nancy Lazar that predicted a recession.
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‘Sandler says “If the tariffs stay in place for at least the next six months, even if only 50 percent of the price shocks where we see products go higher in price show through the economy, US real GDP is on track to decline about one percent in the second quarter and third quarter with unemployment rising,’ Bartiromo read.
A recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth, meaning Bartiromo’s prediction was a grim one – especially for a network known for its strong support of Trump.
‘But look,’ Bartiromo asserted, at this point bringing up how the president previously ‘told us we were going to see a disruption.
‘We’re in the disruption right now,’ she declared, as a ticker showed the Dow Jones Industrial Average declining.
Since she spoke, though, the Dow has rallied by roughly 460 points as of 11:00am ET and is down less than one percent from Friday’s closing price.
However, the index – a measure of the economic health of 30 of the largest American blue-chip companies – it is still down 10 percent from this time last month, after Trump detailed his tariff policies last week.
Since then, he has refused to avert course, arguing that higher charges on imports are needed to stimulate the economy and trigger a rise in the rollout of US-made goods.
Critics from both left and right have warned against the plan – framing it as high-stakes and one that unnecessarily risks the retirement savings and quality of life of millions of working-class Americans.
‘Bottom line when you look at this situation from 30,000 feet above, he is trying to renegotiate the economy so the U.S. Is not reliant on China for prescription drugs or Taiwan for conductor chips to try to get manufacturing here,’ Bartiromo went on, repeating Trump talking points supporting the tariffs.
‘I do expect this to hit the main street and hit prices that will go higher,’ she conceded. ‘That’s why you are seeing this reaction in the market.’
The assessment served as starkly different from one she had offered on Fox Business around 6:30am, as falling futures also indicated a recession could be in the cards.
‘Honestly, I would not be surprised if this market reverses course entirely by the close,’ she said during an exchange with former colleague and ex-Fox business reporter Cheryl Casone.
‘We’re waiting to hear any news out of these negotiations out of the White House.’
Developing story, check back for updates…