The economy was a strength for Trump in his first term. Not anymore, according to recent polling

Polls Suggest Trump's Economic Strength from First Term Has Diminished

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump’s second-term strengths look different from his first, according to new polling.

Trump, once bolstered by his stance on economic issues, now finds his approval ratings lagging in this area. Instead, he is focusing on topics where he traditionally maintains more support, such as crime, border security, and immigration. While economic and immigration concerns initially aided his ascent to the presidency, recent polls reveal that confidence in his economic management has waned—especially among independents—and his approval on immigration has dipped slightly.

Currently, Trump’s strongest areas are border security and crime, though recent findings from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research suggest potential vulnerabilities in his crime ratings.

Despite fluctuations in specific areas, Trump’s overall approval rating has remained relatively stable in AP-NORC polls since the start of his second term. As of this month, 39% of American adults approve of Trump’s performance in office, aligning with his average approval after a minor increase in August. This mirrors a similar trend from his first term, where his approval varied within tight margins.

Here are the issues on which he’s been strongest and weakest in his second term:

Trump’s biggest strengths are border security and crime

Trump has turned border security into a strength of his second term, a sharp reversal from his first term in office.

Americans generally favor Trump’s handling of border security, viewing it more positively than his overall presidency or other earlier strengths such as immigration and crime. During his second term, border security has emerged as a notable asset. Back in 2019, roughly 40% of adults endorsed his border security efforts, during which he was focused on obtaining funds for the U.S.-Mexico border wall.

His approval on immigration is slightly lower than it was early in his second term, but it remains a bit higher than his overall job approval.

In March, around half of the U.S. population approved of Trump’s approach to immigration; however, recent figures put his immigration approval at 43%, slightly exceeding his general approval score.

Despite a small decline, immigration remains a more pronounced strength now, compared to his first term. Back then, about 40% of adults approved of his immigration policies, but approval rose to about half with the onset of his second term.

Trump has taken firm steps to deport immigrants living in the U.S. illegally, and the new poll finds that a sizable share of Americans — about half — say Trump has “gone too far” in pursuit of that goal, roughly the same share as held that stance in a poll conducted in April.

His approval on how he’s handling crime is also down slightly to 46%, after reaching 53% in August as he deployed the National Guard to Washington. But that still exceeds his overall job approval, and it’s also an advantage among certain groups, like independents. About 4 in 10 independents approve of Trump’s approach to crime, compared with 25% who approve of his approach to the presidency overall.

Trump is weaker on the economy with independents

The economy is often a fraught point for presidents, and there are indications that Americans continue to be concerned about the country’s economic state.

Just 37% of U.S. adults approve of Trump’s handling of the economy. That’s down slightly from August, when 43% approved, but broadly in line with his overall approval.

The economy is a particularly weak issue for Trump among independents. Only about 2 in 10 independents approve of how Trump is handling the economy, much lower than the share who approve of his handling of border security and crime.

In Trump’s first term, closer to half of U.S. adults approved of his handling of the economy. This height of his success on this issue came at the beginning of 2020, right before the COVID-19 pandemic sparked an economic downturn. His approval on this issue varied throughout the pandemic, and about half of Americans approved of his economic approach just before he lost the 2020 presidential election. At that point, however, more Americans were more worried about the coronavirus pandemic than the economy. His approval has been consistently lower in his second term — when he came into office, only about 4 in 10 approved of how he handled the economy.

Trump’s lowest issues among Republicans: Trade and health care

Only about 7 in 10 Republicans approve of Trump’s approach to trade negotiations with other countries and health care — marking the lowest issue ratings among his base.

Americans overall aren’t thrilled about how he’s handling these issues, either. Only about one-third of U.S. adults approve of how Trump is handling either trade negotiations with other countries or health care. These have been steadily low in recent AP-NORC polls but roughly track with Trump’s overall approval. They were also similarly low in his first term.

About 6 in 10 U.S. adults say Trump has “gone too far” when it comes to imposing new tariffs on other countries. That includes about 9 in 10 Democrats but also roughly 6 in 10 independents and 3 in 10 Republicans. Very few Americans, including Republicans, want Trump to go further on imposing tariffs.

Trump is earning lower marks on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict

About 4 in 10, 37%, of U.S. adults approve of the way Trump is handling the conflict between the Israelis and the Palestinians, down slightly from the 44% who approved in March.

Slightly fewer Republicans approve of how Trump is handling the conflict — 72%, compared with 82% of Republicans who approved of the way Trump was handling the issue in March. Democrats are also slightly less likely to approve: 9% now, down from 14% in March.

Despite this, Trump’s approval on foreign policy has been steady. About 4 in 10 U.S. adults approve, in line with April.

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The AP-NORC poll of 1,183 adults was conducted Sept. 11-15, using a sample drawn from NORC’s probability-based AmeriSpeak Panel, which is designed to be representative of the U.S. population. The margin of sampling error for adults overall is plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.

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