In a decisive turn of events, the Senate is poised to cast votes today on a House-approved bill designed to reopen the government. This measure, arising from recent bipartisan discussions, aims to incorporate three comprehensive appropriations into the legislation. However, despite these efforts, the Republican proposal remains on shaky ground, with a lack of sufficient Democratic support potentially stalling progress by Friday.

Earlier in the week, there was a sense of optimism among the moderates engaged in these bipartisan negotiations. The proposal included a future vote on extending health insurance tax credits, potentially breaking the impasse. Yet, these discussions hit a snag on Thursday, as Democratic members huddled in a private caucus meeting, seemingly pausing the momentum.

Some moderate voices are keen to strike a deal to end the government shutdown. However, the recent Democratic victories in pivotal elections have emboldened others within the caucus to prolong the standoff, aiming to press harder for their healthcare priorities. Compounding the issue was House Speaker Mike Johnson’s reluctance, expressed on Thursday, to commit to a vote on extending health insurance tax credits, a setback for Democrats who were beginning to show interest in the proposal.

The Friday vote, yet to be officially scheduled, demands a supermajority of 60 votes to proceed. This means Republicans must convince at least five Democrats to join their cause. While three Democratic senators have consistently supported advancing the House bill, Republicans are banking on the moderate Democrats involved in recent talks to vote in favor of progressing the legislation, with the anticipation it would be amended to include long-term funding solutions.

Amidst the unfolding drama at the Capitol, Republican Senator John Thune shared his guarded optimism regarding the vote’s outcome.

“I’m hopeful that we will gather enough Democratic support to move forward, but it’s uncertain,” remarked Thune of South Dakota. “They seem to be hesitating or delaying, despite this being what they initially requested.”

The planned vote on Friday, which is not yet scheduled, would require 60 votes to advance, meaning Republicans need at least five more Democrats to cross the aisle. Three senators have repeatedly broken with their party to vote in favor of advancing the House-passed measure. Republicans are hoping the moderate Democrats who have been in the negotiations all week will vote to at least advance the bill, with the expectation that it will be amended and include some longer-term funding.

At the Capitol, Thune commented on his expectations for Friday.

“My hopes and expectations are always that we’re going to have enough Democrats to actually proceed, but I don’t know, we’ll see,” the South Dakota Republican said. “They seem to be walking back or slow-walking this, and it’s what they asked for.”