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The buzz around the 2024 GOP presidential primary has been heating up as several senators, including Tim Scott (R-SC) and former United States Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, visited Iowa. This state votes first in the primary election.
But which GOP ticket in 2024 has the best chance to win in key swing states? Perhaps it could be two of the most popular governors among GOP voters — Ron DeSantis (R-FL) and Kristi Noem (R-SD). A few other names that have been floated around as vice presidential picks have been Nikki Haley, Kim Reynolds (R-IA), and a “unity ticket” featuring former congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI).
A DeSantis-Noem ticket would energize the GOP to vote in key swing states because of their performance in Florida and South Dakota, especially their handling of the COVID-19 pandemic. They kept businesses open, did not enforce vaccine mandates, but encouraged the citizens to get vaccinated, while other states like California kept small businesses shut down. As a result, Florida and South Dakota had booming economies.
Today we expanded eligibility for Bright Futures, so work hours count for community service requirements.
Some students must work to help their families & do not have the luxury of volunteering. We won’t make students decide between working or qualifying for this scholarship. pic.twitter.com/0pZ2pKKUNy
— Ron DeSantis (@GovRonDeSantis) June 27, 2022
Several swing states will be in play in 2024: Pennsylvania, Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, North Carolina, Virginia, Ohio, and Georgia.
As the GOP is looking to change tactics, targeting college-educated, female, and Hispanic voters, those nine swing states will be crucial and could be the decider of whether the GOP nominee wins or loses the general election. As the GOP attempts to form this broad coalition of voters, including suburban voters who voted for Joe Biden in 2020, they will need to select the right ticket to succeed in 2024.
The challenge for the GOP is going to be in the general election. As more people are migrating from other states in large numbers into Florida and South Dakota, DeSantis and Noem could position themselves to smooth sailing in 2024. It is vitally important to win the majority of swing states and all the GOP-controlled states. As we saw in Virginia, Glenn Youngkin became the governor of a state where Joe Biden won 54 percent of the vote in 2020. The same tactic could be used for the presidential election by DeSantis and Noem.
Although there have been several candidates interested in running — former Vice President Mike Pence, Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX), former secretary of state Mike Pompeo, and, of course, former President Donald Trump — it seems as though due to the governing style of DeSantis and Noem, they have become prevalent figures among the GOP. The DeSantis-Noem ticket could bring Trump supporters, never Trumpers, Independents, and moderate Republicans, as well as some moderate Democrats in swing states to vote for them in November. As the GOP wants to broaden its base, bringing all sides of the aisle is important to ensure a victory in November of 2024.