Post sports gambling editor and digital sports editor Matt Ehalt returns for his second season in the NFL Bettor’s Guide.

Giants (+7) over BRONCOS

The Denver Broncos have a knack for tight matches, with five of their six games this season decided by a single score.

Their lone decisive victory was against Jake Browning and the Bengals, where Browning, who is now serving as a backup to the former Browns quarterback Joe Flacco, struggled to make an impact.

Even last weekend, the Broncos narrowly edged out the Jets by just two points, taking advantage of a team that seemed incapable of securing a first down despite multiple attempts.

Meanwhile, the New York Giants have a few advantages to consider.

With extra rest following their Thursday night game, the Giants are fresher, and Denver’s travel woes are compounded by their recent journey back from London.

The Giants are not as good as they looked last week against Philadelphia, but their offense is competent enough, and the defense can get pressure on Bo Nix to keep this game close entering the fourth quarter. 

Dolphins (+2.5) over BROWNS

While the Dolphins are truly awful and on the verge of exploding at any minute, the one thing they have done relatively well this year is score.

Excluding their Week 1 no-show vs. the Colts, they’ve averaged 25.2 points across their last five games and scored at least 21 points in each game.

Meanwhile, the one thing the Browns don’t do is score. The move to Dillon Gabriel has resulted in 26 points across the last two games, including nine against the Steelers in Week 6.

Betting on the NFL?

The Dolphins are realistically a play or two away the last two weeks from being 3-3 and having a three-game winning streak.

Sure, Cleveland back Quinshon Judkins may run wild here, but the Browns’ defense hasn’t been as good as advertised.

One bonus for Miami is that with this game being played in mid-October, so the late-season weather concerns for the Dolphins don’t really apply.

2025 record: 3-8-1
Last week: 0-2; Colts (L); Broncos (L)

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Matt Ehalt has been picking against the spread since his childhood days when he entered his father’s newspaper pool and even took the top prize on more than one occasion. He specializes in NFL wagers and is quite successful with NCAA brackets.