Stunning, new graphics show that the novel coronavirus is still surging in several counties across the US.
As states begin to reopen their economies, several cities have been seeing their daily COVID-19 infections increase.
Daily infections in Harrison, Texas – a state that has been aggressively reopening – have spiked by 900 percent.
And in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, where stay-at-home orders were deemed ‘unconstitutional’ by the state Supreme Court, cases have increased by 360 percent.
Researchers from the University of Washington School of Pharmacy found there also may be up to 1.2 million coronavirus deaths in the US, making the viris far deadlier than the seasonal flu.
Last week marked the first time all 50 states at least partially reopened as restrictions on businesses and social distancing were seen in varying degrees across the country.
Harrison, Texas has seen daily cases increase from about 300 per 100,000 people in mid- April to 3,000 per 100,000 on May 22
Daily infections jumped in Clay County, Florida from 160 per day on April 1 to 800 on May 22
For the study, the team created a model that looked at infection and fatality rates from 116 counties in 33 states.
Dr Anirban Basu, director of the Choice Institute at the UW School of Pharmacy, told KING 5, the tool is not a forecasting program, but rather looks at how cases are changing daily in the US.
The model showed that, in Harrison, Texas, cases humped from about 300 per 100,000 people in mid- April to 3,000 per 100,000 on May 22.
That’s a 900 percent jump over the course of about a month.
The county recorded 205 new cases on May 14, but researchers predict infections could potentially surge to 2,247 by June 16.
Texas, which currently has more than 55,000 cases and more than 1,500 deaths, has allowed retail stores, restaurants, movie theaters and malls to reopen at 25 percent capacity.
In some parts of the state, the establishments can open at 50 percent capacity.
And in Clay County, Florida – about 33 miles from Jacksonville – daily infections have risen from 160 per day on April 1 to 800 on May 22.
A nursing home in the county, Governors Creek Health and Rehabilitation, recently recored seven deaths from the coronavirus outbreak.
According to The Florida-Times Union, the death toll is the highest in the Jacksonville metropolitan area.
Florida, which has more than 52,000 infections and more than 2,200 deaths, has lifted restrictions by allowing retail stores, restaurants, gyms and personal care services to reopen at limited capacity.
However, researchers found similar spikes in northern states.
In Milwaukee, Wisconsin, daily cases rose from 260 per 100,000 in early April to almost 1,300 per 100,000 on May 22
In Columbia, New York, daily infections have surged from nearly 600 per 100,000 on April 5 to almost 3,000 on May 22
In Milwaukee, Wisconsin, daily infections have surged from 260 per 100,000 in early April to almost 1,300 per 100,000 on May 22.
On May 13, the Wisconsin Supreme Court has struck down Gov Tony Evers’ extended Safer at Home order, calling it was unconstitutional.
But, over the last several days, cases have continue to decline.
On Saturday, more than 20 percent of cases came back positive, the fifth day in a row this had occurred, reported the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
The county’s goal is to have 10 percent or fewer tests come back positive, which it has not seen since May 9.
Even in Columbia, New York – where cases and deaths statewide are decreasing – infections are increasing.
Daily infections have spiked from nearly 600 per 100,000 on April 5 to almost 3,000 on May 22, the graphs show.
This is even as the county, which in New York’s mid-Hudson region, began reopening last week.
Basu says that only about 25 percent of all infections actually get reported meaning that a great deal of data is missing.
By tracking down the true number of infections, this can help policymakers decide when and how to safely reopen regions across the US.
‘The interesting thing that we have found here is that once we take those death rates and back-calculate how many symptomatic patients are there, and how many true infections are they in the community, we can get some sense of what the true spread of the infection is in the community,’ Basu told KING 5.
The team’s calculations also found that coronavirus deaths in the US are anywhere between 350,000 and 1.2 million, making it far deadlier than most viruses.
‘In the whole of the United States, there were 30,000 to 35,000 deaths from flu in the first two months,’ Basu said.
The new graphs come on the heels of projections from the PolicyLab at Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia that show several several are at risk of a second wave of coronavirus infections within the next months.
Researchers say cities such as Dallas and Miami could see COVID-19 infections surge to about 700 cases per day.
And Houston, the fourth-most populated city in the US, could see daily cases surge to more than 2,000 per day.
‘As communities reopen, we’re starting to detect evidence of resurgence in cases in places that have overreached a bit,’ Dr David Rubin, a pediatrician and director of CHOP’s PolicyLab, told The Washington Post.
Source: Daily Mail | Health