Updated modelling could mean Melbourne has some restrictions eased earlier than planned, however Mr Andrews did not make any promises today.
He said the modelling underpinning Melbourne’s roadmap out of lockdown would soon be replaced by “actual experience” data.
Testing dropped as low as 7000 in the past 24 hours.
Mr Andrews urged vigilance and a willingness to hang tough, but the mood among his team of advisors appears optimistic.
“This is not just a good day, this is a great day,” he said, reflecting on two consecutive days of very low case numbers.
“We are seeing these numbers come down. This strategy is working. All of us have to stay the course.
“If we do not stay the course, if we let our frustrations get the better of us, then there is an underlying fragility to this and that is just the nature of this virus.”
The rolling 14-day average in Melbourne has dropped to 34.4 and just 1.6 in regional Victoria.
Today’s total is the lowest number in almost three months, after the second wave surged through the state.
On June 15, Victoria recorded nine cases.
There are no new cases in Casey area where a family cluster now totals 43.
The total number of Australians who have died of coronavirus has risen to 851, with 763 of those fatalities in Victoria.
Today’s deaths included one woman in her 80s and a woman aged in her 100s.
One of the fatalities was linked to an aged care outbreak.
Mr Andrews confirmed there are 92 Victorians in hospital, including six patients critically unwell in intensive care, with three on ventilators.
Among the 657 active cases are 79 healthcare workers.
The goal, he said, was to get Victoria into a position where SA and NSW “have got confidence that we don’t pose a risk”.
School camps for kids in regional Victoria
In good news for kids starved of contact with friends, camps will recommence for schools in regional Victoria when Term 4 kicks off.
Deputy Premier James Merlino said school camps delivered $134 million of economic activity in regional communities across the state.
He said camps will be conducted in a “COVID safe way” with regular cleaning.
Deputy chief medical officer Dr Nick Coatsworth said Victoria appeared well on the way towards single digit case numbers.
Dr Coatsworth said a total of just 25 new cases over two days in Victoria “will no doubt be taken into account” by Premier Andrews if an adjustment of the roadmap is looming.