TRUMP’S historic strikes against Iran could push the world to the brink of global conflict, experts have warned.
Iran has vowed to fight on, and at this very moment will be calling upon its allies to gather against the West.
While Israel has stamped out much of Iran’s power in the Middle East, it still has formidable allies with similarly anti-west interests.
Analysts suggest that Trump’s actions could bring adversarial nations closer, potentially initiating a series of events that could involve more countries in the turmoil.
According to Philip Ingram, a global defence specialist, in a discussion with The Sun: “Iran does not have the capability to send ballistic missiles to the United States, so in order to respond to the United States’ offensive, Iran will need to pursue alternative strategies.
“It’ll bring its axis of evil. That means Iran, Russia, North Korea and China.
“We are a couple of feet further up the escalation ladder towards a global conflict.”
North Korea showed its willingness to get involved with other wars when Kim sent 12,000 troops over to fight on Russia‘s front line with Ukraine.
With Iran increasingly desperate, North Korea could step in and provide military aid such as “missile technology“, Ingram said.
Russia has been one of Iran’s most vocal allies, and has warned all along that regime change would be “unacceptable”.
The Kremlin said the assassination of Iran’s supreme leader would “open the Pandora’s box”.
Ingram said that “Iran and Russia will join forces to try and cause as much disruption in different countries as possible.”
Russia is well-versed in the dark arts, and has propagated a campaign of sabotage against the West, so would have plenty to teach Iran.
Forcing Iran and Russia closer together is not the only way US strikes could impact on Putin.
Ingram said: “The escalating conflict helps Russia by moving Russia-Ukraine further down the agenda so that people aren’t focusing on it.
This situation also involves international geopolitical organizations and leaders in a complicated Middle Eastern scenario, limiting their ability to focus on Russia’s activities in Ukraine.”
Chip Chapman said that the most immediate threat to western allies would be if Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz – which could even see the UK dragged into the conflict.
He said: “20 percent of the world’s oil runs through the strait. Closing it could have huge implications for the oil price.
“And that’s where the Brits may get involved. If the Iranians were to try and close the Strait of Hormuz, there would be a definite ask from the Americans to the Brits.”
Russia would likely back Iran’s decision to close the strait, because an increase in oil prices would help fund its activities, Ingram explained.
For many years Iran enjoyed considerable power in the Middle East through its proxies across the region.
Two of the key players were Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon – but over the past 20 months Israel has seriously crippled them.
However, Ingram says the Houthis in Yemen still pose a threat to the world other.
He said: “I think we will see a massive uptake in Houthi activity in disrupting international shipping in the Red Sea.”
Experts have also warned that the strikes could prove a “slippery slope” and commit the US to pursuing more extreme military goals in Iran – such as overthrowing the regime.
Laura Blumenfeld, a Middle East analyst at the Johns Hopkins School, said: “Beware mission creep, aiming for regime change and democratization campaigns.
“You’ll find the bones of many failed US moral missions buried in Middle East sands.”
US-driven regime change would likely drive a wedge further between the West and the Islamic world – as was the case with Iraq – the experts suggest.
Ingram said: “If there Ayatollah was killed it could change the whole way the government is set up in Iran, like we had with the fall of the Shah.
“Then you whatever comes in next could be worse than what’s in now and more polarised.”
The US strikes could also prove a spark to other flash points around the world – such as the China-Taiwan tensions.
Ingram said “China will likely sit back and wait to see what’s happening, to begin with.
“Xi Jinping might think the international community is so tied up in the Middle East, that he has a window of opportunity, and he might try and take Taiwan.
“The world is not just a more febrile place, but the potentials for a series of events to happen to take us into a global conflict have just become even more complex to try and analyse.
“We haven’t moved away from conflict. We have moved away from a despot regime getting towns on nuclear weapons, but it’s not made the world immediately safer.
“What happens over the coming days and weeks will let us understand as to whether we have moved back from the brink of a global conflict or move further forward.”
