In a highly anticipated welterweight showdown, fifth-ranked Belal Muhammad is set to face off against the 11th-ranked Gabriel Bonfim at UFC Fight Night. This event, dubbed “Muhammad vs. Bonfim,” will take place on Saturday at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas. The action-packed main card, featuring five bouts, will kick off around 8 p.m. ET, exclusively on Paramount+. Muhammad recently suffered a unanimous decision loss to Ian Machado Garry at a previous UFC event on November 22. In contrast, Bonfim emerged victorious against Randy Brown on November 8.
As the headlining fight approaches, both Muhammad and Bonfim are evenly matched in odds, with each fighter listed at -110 according to DraftKings Sportsbook. Before placing any bets on this UFC Fight Night clash, it is crucial to check out the expert predictions and betting tips from Kyle Marley of SportsLine.
Paramount+ is your exclusive destination to stream every UFC numbered event and UFC Fight Night live, at no extra cost. A subscription unlocks a world of sports content, including the UEFA Champions League, college basketball, the NFL, and Big Ten on CBS alongside a vast library of movies and shows. Plans start at just $8.99 per month, so sign up today.
Visit our in-depth review to explore their latest offers and start your subscription.
Over the past three years, Kyle Marley’s betting strategies have proven lucrative for $100 bettors, yielding nearly $10,000 in profits. Since May 2018, he has delivered returns exceeding $21,000. Known for his consistent winning picks, Marley has been a trusted MMA analyst for SportsLine members over the last five years. Notably, he successfully predicted five consecutive main-event underdog wins in 2020, shortly after the UFC’s pandemic pause. Those who followed Marley’s UFC betting advice have reaped substantial rewards.
Marley has thoroughly analyzed the matchup between Belal Muhammad and Gabriel Bonfim and is ready to share his top betting insights. Visit SportsLine to access his expert picks and best bets.
Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim preview
Muhammad, 37, has had a storied career, and is a former UFC welterweight champion. He began his professional career in 2012 and has also competed for Bellator and Titan Fighting Championship. In 30 career matches, he is 24-5-1. He has five wins by knockout, one by submission and 18 by decision. He is a two-time Performance of the Night winner.
He has recorded two Fight of the Night honors and is tied with Kamaru Usman for the most unanimous decision wins in UFC welterweight division history. Muhammad also has the third-highest takedown defense percentage in UFC welterweight history and is fourth in total strikes landed with 2,120. He is also a one-time champion in Titan F.C. Check out SportsLine to see Marley’s picks and analysis.
Bonfim, 28, a former boxer from Brazil, previously competed in Legacy Fighting Alliance, and is a former LFA welterweight champion. He is 5-0 with one knockout in his professional boxing career, and is 19-1 in his MMA career. In MMA, he has registered four wins by knockout, 13 by submission and two by decision. His only loss was by knockout to Nicolas Dalby at UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis in November 2023.
Among his many accomplishments, Bonfim is a two-time Performance of the Night winner and one time Fight of the Night honoree. He was a 2025 third-team MMA all-star. He made his welterweight debut in September 2016. After starting his career 12-0, he competed at Dana White’s Contender Series 53, earning a submission win over Trey Waters. He then joined UFC in January 2023. You can only see Marley’s picks and analysis at SportsLine.
New to sports trading? Visit our review to see their latest offers and get started.
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim predictions
One of of Marley’s UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim picks: He is backing Chelsea Chandler (-130) to win via unanimous decision against Priscila Cachoeira (+110) in a women’s bantamweight bout on the preliminary UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim card.
“Cachoeira is the more dangerous striker, but she is also more hittable,” Marley said. “Chandler is the more well-rounded fighter, and she should look to wrestle in this matchup. If she avoids the big KO shots early, then I like Chandler to take this one on the scorecards.” See who else to back here.
How to make UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim picks
Marley also has strong picks for Muhammad vs. Bonfim and other bouts on the UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim card. He’s also backing an underdog who has a “big striking advantage” to emerge with a big victory. He’s sharing who it is only at SportsLine.
Who wins Muhammad vs. Bonfim, and how exactly does the fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks and analysis from the incomparable expert who is up over $21,000 on his UFC picks since May 2018, and find out.
UFC Fight Night main fight card, odds
See picks at SportsLine.
(Odds from DraftKings and subject to change)
Belal Muhammad (-110) vs. Gabriel Bonfim (-110)
Brandan Allen (-180) vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (+150)
Fares Ziam (-298) vs. Tom Nolan (+240)
Bryce Mitchell (-125) vs. Santiago Luna (+105)
Iwo Baraniewski (-410) vs. Junior Tafa (+320)
