Topline

Despite deep divisions on numerous issues, Americans agree across political lines that the nation is in peril, according to a Quinnipiac poll, which found more than half of respondents believe another January 6, 2021-type attack is likely.

Key Facts

The poll found 58% of respondents believe “the nation’s democracy is in danger of collapse,” including 62% of Republicans, 57% of independents and 56% of Democrats.

The issue was one of few where there was agreement across partisan lines, with the poll finding Americans remain deeply divided by party on whether former President Donald Trump should run in 2024 and whether “it is time to move on” from the January 6, 2021 attack.

Overall, 50% of respondents said last January’s attack on the U.S. Capitol should “never be forgotten,” including 88% of Democrats, while 44% of respondents said it’s “time to move on,” a view 77% of Republicans held.

Most respondents, 53%, also said they believe it’s either “very” or “somewhat” likely another attack like the one on January 6, 2021 will take place, with 69% of Democrats and 36% of Republicans holding that view.

Some 61% of respondents said former President Donald Trump bears at least some responsibility for the Capitol attack, and 59% said he shouldn’t run for president in 2024, but 69% of Republicans indicated they’d want Trump to run again.

The poll was conducted from January 7-10, surveying 1,313 U.S. adults.

Surprising Fact

Quinnipiac’s findings brought more dismal news for Democrats. President Joe Biden’s approval rating dipped to 33% among all adults, according to the poll—a three percentage point drop from his 36% approval rating in a November Quinnipiac poll, though his performance in Quinnipiac polls tends to be lower than in other surveys. Biden holds a 42.2% approval rating in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average. Wednesday’s poll found Biden struggling significantly with groups that had been considered reliable Democratic demographics in recent times—young people and Hispanics. The poll showed Biden holding just a 24% approval rating among those ages 18-34 and a 28% approval rating among Hispanics.

What To Watch For

Republicans have the momentum going into the 2022 midterms, according to the poll. It found respondents favored the GOP over Democrats 43%-42% when asked which party should win a majority in the House, and favored Republicans 45%-41% for control of the Senate. Numerous polls have found more Americans hoping Republicans take control of Congress, rather than Democrats.

Key Background

Voters might agree across the political spectrum that the nation is in trouble, but they hold significantly different views on the facts behind the danger. Republicans appear driven in large part by Trump’s repeated claims of widespread fraud in the 2020 presidential election, with 71% of GOP respondents saying they believe the claims, even though they’ve been continually disproven. Democrats, meanwhile, overwhelmingly think Trump and his false fraud claims are endangering the country, with 97% saying Trump bears responsibility for the riot on January 6, 2021. The attack was the focal point of national media attention last week: Biden marked its first anniversary Thursday by giving a speech where he directly blamed Trump for dividing the country, while Trump released a series of statements rehashing his claims of election fraud.

Tangent

A handful of Republican figures slammed Trump’s false fraud claims last week, leading to an angry response from the ex-president in one case. After Sen. Mike Rounds (R-S.D.) called the 2020 election “fair,” Trump released a statement ripping the senator, vowing to “never endorse this jerk again.”

Further Reading

Republicans Take Biggest Congressional Poll Lead Over Democrats Since 1981 (Forbes)

Biden Blames Trump For January 6 Insurrection In Anniversary Address: ‘Values Power Over Principle’ (Forbes)

More Voters Want Trump To Run In 2024 Than Biden, Poll Suggests (Forbes)

GOP Figures Blast Trump’s Rehashing Of Election Fraud Claims: ‘Learn To Lose’ (Forbes)

Source: Forbes

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