WASHINGTON – A new AP-NORC poll shows that most Americans still disapprove of President Donald Trump’s approach to Iran, even as his broader job approval rating remains essentially unchanged. The survey was conducted while Trump was signaling that an agreement with Iran had been reached.
The findings underscore how unpopular the three-month conflict with Iran has been among the U.S. public, despite Trump’s sharp shift from issuing threats to reviving diplomatic talks. Views on his handling of the situation remain heavily divided along party lines. Overall, 65% of U.S. adults say they disapprove of Trump’s management of issues involving Iran. While Democrats and independents largely view his actions negatively, dissatisfaction among Republicans is far lower, with 28% expressing disapproval.
Public opinion on Iran closely mirrors Trump’s overall standing with voters. His job approval rating is 37%, the same level recorded in an AP-NORC poll taken in May.
The poll was carried out from June 11 to June 17, shortly after Trump backed away from threats to intensify the conflict with Iran. It was in the field as he announced an agreement with Tehran and approved ending the U.S. naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz. The survey wrapped up just before the deal was formally signed on Wednesday.
Support for Trump’s Iran policy has remained weak for months. Still, interviews suggest that not all Republicans were satisfied with this week’s agreement, particularly because it delivers an immediate advantage to Iran by once again allowing the country to sell its oil without restriction.
The agreement also reopens the Strait of Hormuz without tolls for two months, resumes U.S.-Iran negotiations over Tehran’s nuclear program, and requires Iran to dilute its stockpile of highly enriched uranium.
David Farrington, a 79-year-old Republican-leaning independent in Fort Worth, Texas, “doesn’t have any love lost” for Iran, but he’s frustrated the agreement focused on the strait and didn’t deliver more on the country’s nuclear weapons program.
“Any agreement regarding the strait is hardly what I would consider a recognizable concession on the part of Iran,” Farrington said. “So, I consider that some fluff that attempts to make this agreement look better when it’s not.”
Trump’s approval on Iran remains flat
Only about one-third of U.S. adults approve of how Trump is handling Iran in the new poll, in line with May.
Donald McBride, a 28-year-old independent in Plano, Texas, is frustrated that Trump has not maintained his campaign promise to keep America out of foreign wars. McBride voted for Trump but he opposed going to war with Iran.
“I would like the war to end,” he said. “The original objective of the war was to end the Iranian regime, and that’s just not possible. I don’t really know why we’d continue fighting.”
The poll suggests most Americans want action in Iran to wrap up. Even with an agreement on the horizon, 53% of U.S. adults said American military action against Iran had “gone too far,” only a slight decline from 59% in March.
About 4 in 10 Republicans, though, said in the latest poll that action has been “about right,” and 37% said it had not gone far enough.
Joan Jones, a 64-year-old independent in northwest Florida, believes the United States’ actions in Iran have been necessary to address the threat Iran posed.
“Those attacks are ultimately to protect us from nuclear attacks,” Jones said. “I think we have to go through that … and eliminate that worry so we don’t have that hovering over us.”
Few approve of Trump’s approach on Israel
About one-third, 34%, of U.S. adults approve of how Trump is handling Israel.
Tensions have been rising between Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Trump as the president criticizes recent Israeli attacks in Lebanon, which jeopardized negotiations between Washington and Tehran.
James Huffman, a 69-year-old Republican in Medway, Ohio, thinks Trump is taking the wrong strategy when it comes to Netanyahu.
“Netanyahu is not going to do everything Trump wants. He’s going to do what he wants,” Huffman said. “I just don’t think it’s effective.”
Only about one-third approve on the economy
About one-third of U.S. adults approve of Trump’s approach to the economy. That’s in line with last month, and continues a challenging stretch for Trump on the issue.
Jones, the Florida independent, is more optimistic than most. She said she can hardly leave the house some hours without getting stuck in the traffic of tourists headed to the beach on vacation. She also spots lines around the block for Starbucks, McDonalds and Chick-fil-A in her community — all signs to her that the economy is doing well overall.
“I think President Trump’s policies are contributing to a better economy,” Jones said.
Other Republicans are more skeptical, a troubling sign for a president who prides himself on his business acumen. Only 69% of Republicans approve of how he’s handling the economy, slightly lower than the 78% who approve of how he’s handling the presidency overall.
Patricia Bailey, a 42-year-old Republican in Parkersburg, West Virginia, sees an economy where prices have gotten out of control. “I just said the other night, ordering pizza is for rich people,” she said. Bailey voted for Trump but added, “He’s kind of let me down a little bit.”
Even if high prices preceded Trump, Bailey doesn’t think he’s lived up to his pledge to improve the economy.
“I think he got so distracted with the war that he forgot some old promises,” she said.
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The AP-NORC poll of 3,040 adults was conducted June 11-17 using a sample drawn from NORC’s probability-based AmeriSpeak Panel, which is designed to be representative of the U.S. population. The margin of sampling error for adults overall is plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.
