ORLANDO, Fla. – An active and unstable weather pattern is taking hold in Central Florida, with daily storms, high temperatures, and an increasing risk of localized flooding.

Monday

The first system bringing rain is an upper-level low in the northern Bahamas, which will cause atmospheric instability and increase moisture in our daily sea breeze pattern for several days.

Scattered thunderstorms are anticipated in the afternoon and evening across the area. While these storms may be somewhat sporadic compared to the weekend, they still have the potential to generate gusty winds up to 50 mph, frequent lightning, and short periods of heavy rain.

An earlier start to the rain should keep temperatures near normal, in the upper 80s to low 90s.

This Week

Rain chances remain elevated as rounds of moisture surge into the area. Expect widespread afternoon and evening thunderstorms, many of which could be slow-moving and capable of producing heavy rain in a short period of time. This raises the risk of localized flooding, especially in low-lying or poorly drained spots. Dangerous lightning and gusty winds (up to 50 mph) will remain a concern.

Independence Day-Weekend

Looking ahead to the weekend, the forecast remains unsettled. A weak front will stall near the Southeast, bringing waves of tropical moisture over Central Florida. This will keep storm chances high each day, and the potential compounds flood risks.

On the plus side, increased cloud cover may help keep daytime highs slightly cooler, in the upper 80s.

This front that will eventually stall out over Florida is catching the attention of the National Hurricane Center for possible tropical or subtropical development. While chances remain low (around 20% over the next seven days), this system could enhance rainfall over Florida regardless of development. Either way, flooding is shaping up to be the main concern through the weekend.