Data indicates that nearly one-third of voters who supported the Tory party in the 2019 general election are now leaning towards the Reform Party.
A revealing YouGov poll highlights that 32 percent of those who voted for Boris Johnson intend to switch their allegiance to Nigel Farage’s party by July 4.
This shift in support marks a significant moment, as Reform has recently surpassed the Conservatives in the polls for the first time.
Current projections suggest Mr. Farage’s party could capture 19 percent of the popular vote, while the Conservatives are estimated to receive around 17 percent, with Labour leading at 37 percent.
Almost one in three people who voted for Boris Johnson in 2019 have switched support to Nigel Farage’s Reform Party, figures have shown
Last week, Mr. Farage proclaimed that Reform has become the primary opposition to Labour.
In a post on X, the platform formerly known as Twitter, he stated: ‘This marks a turning point. A Conservative vote is now the only wasted vote. We are the challengers to Labour and making significant strides.’
The polling shows that there has been a Farage-factor to Reform UK’s surge in support.
The week before he made his comeback to frontline politics the party was supported by 28 per cent of Conservative 2019 voters, enjoying a four point rise since the veteran Brexiteer announced he would lead the party and stand in the upcoming election.
The party have been polling well with disillusioned Tories since the end of November 2023, not dipping below 20 per cent since.
Voters who backed the Conservative party in 2019 largely remained loyal during the partygate allegations, with over 70 per cent still supporting the party.
The drop came during Liz Truss’s short tenure as PM, with just over half of 2019 Tories saying they would back them next time around at the end of September 2022.
At that time, though, it was Labour taking advantage.
Support for the Conservative Party has fallen with latest opinion polls suggesting Rishi Sunak’s Tories are in third place behind Mr Farage’s party
One in five Brexit supporters have suggested they will back Sir Keir Starmer in the election
The 2019 election was largely fought over delivering on leaving the EU with Mr Johnson promising to ‘Get Brexit Done’.
Not all leave voters are planning to back Mr Farage at the ballot box in July, with one in five Brexiteers saying they will vote for Sir Keir.
Reform is currently polling strongest among men, over-65s and people in the Midlands.
This isn’t the first time Reform has polled a third of former Tory voters.
At the beginning of April this year there were reports of record numbers of small boat crossings for the first three months of the year, with more than 5,000 arriving by the end of March.
