Share this @internewscast.com
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) chose to keep the cash rate unchanged at 3.6 per cent after its September meeting.
The bank indicated that although inflation has significantly dropped from its 2022 peak, available data, though partial and variable, points to a potentially higher-than-anticipated inflation rate for the September quarter.
On Tuesday, the RBA board unanimously agreed on their cautious stance due to signals that suggest inflation might persist in some sectors.

They emphasized the need to stay alert given the elevated uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook.

Speaking after the decision, RBA governor Michelle Bullock said higher price levels affect everyone but they have been “especially tough on people on low incomes and the more vulnerable”.
“This is why it’s so important to keep inflation low and stable and unemployment as low as possible.”
However Treasurer Jim Chalmers acknowledged the decision would be met with disappointment.

“Many Australian homeowners may not have desired this outcome, but it aligns with what markets and economists predicted,” he mentioned to the media.

Recent inflation indicators

Data showing a rise in the consumer price index (CPI) and an annual trimmed mean — a metric that smooths out certain volatile price movements — above the midpoint of the RBA’s target band of 2-3 per cent had ruled out the possibility of a rate cut.

According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, consecutive monthly reports revealed that the Consumer Price Index rose 2.8 per cent over the year to July, and then 3 per cent over the year to August—marking the highest rate since July 2024.

Bullock said she still considers Australia’s economy to be in a “good spot” considering these inflation figures and an unemployment rate of 4.2 per cent.
However, she reiterated the board’s position to remain vigilant.
“Market services and housing inflation were a little higher than we were expecting. So, we’re just being a little bit cautious about that. It doesn’t suggest that inflation is running away but we just need to be a little bit cautious.”

The RBA board also acknowledged that both domestic and international factors contribute to uncertainties about the domestic economic trajectory and inflation rates.

The board said that domestically, people may have “become more comfortable consuming as real incomes and wealth rise”, which could lead to businesses passing on cost increases.

However, a recent growth in consumption may not continue “particularly if households become more concerned about overseas developments”.

Treasurer responds to RBA decision

Chalmers said the RBA’s decision to hold the cash rate was “not a surprise” and global economic volatility weighed heavily on both the government and the RBA’s decision-making.
“Interest rates have already come down three times in six months this year,” he said.

“The three interest rate cuts that are already in the system are already providing welcome relief to Australians with a mortgage.”

Chalmers said the government expects inflation to “bounce around” but that the current interest rate, which is in the lower range for recent years, reflects the Albanese government’s progress.

Meanwhile, Opposition treasury spokesperson Ted O’Brien criticized the decision to hold the cash rate as a sign of economic mismanagement and excessive government spending.

The chance of another interest rate cut this year

Economists at NAB, Deutsche Bank, TD Securities, Citi and Nomura have dropped their prediction for another cut this year.
Since the RBA’s last meeting, the economy has grown more strongly than expected, unemployment has stayed low and a material rise in services inflation has threatened the RBA’s inflation forecasts, said Nomura’s Andrew Ticehurst and David Seif.
“We expect (the RBA’s) messaging to pivot back in a much less dovish direction, compared to the communication it provided in August,” they said in a research note.

David Bassanese, the chief economist at Betashares, noted that the RBA’s statement had a “hawkish” tone, implying that they might be less likely to cut interest rates in November than previously thought. However, the Consumer Price Index data for the September quarter will play a crucial role in their future decisions.

Asked what she makes of these predictions, Bullock said economists see the same data as the RBA board.
“It will depend a little bit on what we see coming over the next few months and what our forecasts end up being. So, I can’t say whether they’re right or they’re wrong,” she said.
Bullock said that by the November meeting, the board would have more inflation data about the September quarter and the labour market, as well as more forward-looking indicators.
With additional reporting by the Australian Associated Press.

Share this @internewscast.com
You May Also Like
Bevan Spencer von Einem's lifeless body was carried away from prison.

Justice Served: Infamous Child Killer Bevan Spencer von Einem Dies Behind Bars

Bevan Spencer von Einem, a notorious convicted child murderer, passed away at…

Putin Escalates Tensions with Strong Donbas Threat, Jeopardizing Peace Deal Negotiations

Russian President Vladimir Putin said in an interview published on Thursday that…
Fans during Splendour in the Grass 2016 on July 22, 2016 in Byron Bay, Australia.

Aussie Music Festivals Face Uncertain Future: Nearly 50% of Australians Suggest Solutions to Save the Scene

Recent feedback from a nine.com.au reader poll indicates a growing demand for…
The 39-year-old, known as Chrissy, was killed after being attacked by her dog Dexter on Murphy Crescent in Whyalla Stuart after 4pm yesterday.

South Australian Community Mourns Woman Tragically Killed by Pet Dog in Her Home

A tragic incident unfolded north-west of Adelaide, where a woman lost her…
Netflix to acquire Warner Bros studio and streaming business for $72 billion

Netflix Set to Purchase Warner Bros Studio and Streaming Services in $72 Billion Deal

In a landmark move, Netflix has reached an agreement with Warner Bros…
Sydney to swelter through more heatwave conditions as nine regions face total fire bans

Sydney Braces for Intense Heatwave as Total Fire Bans Implemented Across Nine Regions

Authorities are on alert with extreme fire danger forecast across a large…

Iconic Uluru’s Ayers Rock Resort Acquired by American Tourism Firm

The Ayers Rock Resort in Uluru will change hands to a US…

Australia Imposes Sanctions on Key Taliban Leaders Amid Growing Concerns

Top Taliban officials have been sanctioned and banned from travelling to Australia…

Judge Demands Accountability After Indigenous Boy’s Name Leaked to 2GB

A NSW judge has extraordinarily called for the employment of the Director…

FIFA World Cup 2026 Draw: Australia Set to Challenge Host Nation United States in Group Revelations

The 2026 FIFA World Cup draw was as dramatic as the Andrea…
Aussies paying more for private health insurance and getting less

Australians Face Rising Costs and Diminishing Returns in Private Health Insurance

Australians are currently experiencing increased costs for private health insurance while receiving…
Bevan Spencer Von Einem, guilty of the murder of 15yr Richard Kelvin.

Convicted Child Killer Bevan Spencer von Einem Passes Away in Prison

Bevan Spencer von Einem, a convicted murderer from South Australia, has passed…