'Matter of months': Nuclear watchdog contradicts Trump on Iran
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The head of the United Nations’ nuclear watchdog has stated that US strikes on Iran did not entirely dismantle its nuclear program. The official warned that Iran could resume uranium enrichment “in a matter of months,” opposing the claims of US President Donald Trump, who asserted that the US had set back Tehran’s nuclear ambitions by decades.

IAEA chief Rafael Grossi’s comments appear to support an early assessment from the Pentagon’s Defense Intelligence Agency. (Elisabeth Mandl/Reuters/File via CNN Newsource)

Rafael Grossi’s statements seem to reinforce a preliminary assessment from the Pentagon’s Defense Intelligence Agency, initially reported by CNN. This assessment indicates that the US strikes on significant Iranian nuclear facilities last week failed to destroy the essential components of its nuclear program and likely delayed progress by only several months.

The US then struck three key Iranian nuclear sites before a ceasefire began.

The extent of the damage to Tehran’s nuclear program has been hotly debated ever since.

Although the final military and intelligence evaluation is still pending, Trump has consistently claimed that he has “completely and totally obliterated” Tehran’s nuclear program. The 12-day conflict between Israel and Iran started earlier this month when Israel launched an unprecedented attack, claiming it was meant to prevent Tehran from developing a nuclear bomb, though Iran has maintained that its nuclear pursuits are solely for peaceful purposes. After classified briefings this week, Republican lawmakers conceded that the US strikes might not have eradicated all of Iran’s nuclear resources, but asserted that this was never the military’s primary objective.

This satellite image provided by Maxar Technologies shows damage at the Fordo enrichment facility in Iran after U.S. strikes, Sunday, June 22, 2025. (Maxar Technologies via AP) (AP)

Severe but not ‘total’ damage

Asked about the different assessments, Grossi, director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), told CBS’s Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan: “This hourglass approach in weapons of mass destruction is not a good idea.”

“The capacities they have are there. They can have, you know, in a matter of months, I would say, a few cascades of centrifuges spinning and producing enriched uranium, or less than that,” he told Brennan, according to a transcript released ahead of the broadcast.

But as I said, frankly speaking, one cannot claim that everything has disappeared and there is nothing there.”

“It is clear that there has been severe damage, but it’s not total damage,” Grossi went on to say.

The US Department of Defence released vision on June 26. 2025, of tests of the so-called “bunker buster” bombs. (US Department of Defence)

“Iran has the capacities there; industrial and technological capacities. So if they so wish, they will be able to start doing this again.”

Grossi also told CBS News that the IAEA has resisted pressure to say whether Iran has nuclear weapons or was close to having weapons before the strikes.

“We didn’t see a program that was aiming in that direction (of nuclear weapons), but at the same time, they were not answering very, very important questions that were pending.”

CNN has asked the White House for comment on Grossi’s claims.

Grossi stressed the need for the IAEA to be granted access to Iran, to assess nuclear activities. He said Iran had been disclosing information to the agency up until recent Israeli and US strikes, but that “there were some things that they were not clarifying to us”.

“In this sensitive area of the number of centrifuges and the amount of material, we had perfect view,” he said.

(BBC)

“What I was concerned about is that there were other things that were not clear. For example, we had found traces of uranium in some places in Iran, which were not the normal declared facilities.

“And we were asking for years, why did we find these traces of enriched uranium in place x, y or z? And we were simply not getting credible answers.”

The initial Pentagon assessment said Tehran may have moved some of the enriched uranium out of the sites before they were attacked but Trump has insisted nothing was moved.

“It’s logical to presume that when they announce that they are going to be taking protective measures, this could be part of it (moving the material),” Grossi told Brennan.

“But, as I said, we don’t know where this material could be, or if part of it could have been, you know, under the attack during those 12 days.”

Meanwhile, Tehran has made moves towards withdrawing from international oversight over its nuclear program.

Iran’s parliament passed a bill halting cooperation with the UN nuclear watchdog, while Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi also said that the country could also rethink its membership of the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), which prohibits signatories from developing nuclear weapons.

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