Why California Democrats are nervous this election season

Despite being a stronghold for Democrats, California is experiencing heightened tension this election season, with unpredictability surrounding pivotal contests such as the governor and Los Angeles mayor races.

California Post’s opinion editor, Joel Pollak, highlighted the potential for a Republican contender to make significant headway in the gubernatorial race. “There is a reasonable prospect that a Republican might have a chance of winning,” Pollak noted.

This shift in voter sentiment is partly due to widespread dissatisfaction with persistent issues that many Californians find unbearable, such as the soaring cost of living, homelessness, public safety concerns, insurance dilemmas, and the impact of natural disasters, according to Pollak.

For years, the political landscape in California has been largely predictable, dominated by one party.


Gov. Gavin Newsom speaks to reporters in Washington, DC on May 20, 2026. Anadolu via Getty Images

Pollak points out, “We’ve experienced a series of rather uneventful elections, and it seems like the state is in a crisis partly because of a lack of competitive political opposition.”

This season, however, Democrats are feeling more apprehensive about facing opposition, especially in some of the more prominent races.

But Democrats are a little more nervous about the opposition this election season, especially in a couple high profile races. 

For much of this year, it was looking like two Republican candidates for governor could win the June primary and face off against each other in the November general election.

That’s because Gavin Newsom’s two terms as governor are up, with no obvious successor. That leaves a power vacuum, with numerous Democratic candidates splitting the voter base.

Meanwhile, Republican voters have been much more consolidated behind two candidates, who were at one point leading in the polls. 


Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass speaking at a mayoral debate.
LA Mayor Karen Bass speaks during a mayoral debate at the Sherman Oaks East Valley Adult Center. CHRIS TORRES/EPA/Shutterstock

Meanwhile, fatigue with the status quo is also fueling an unlikely candidate in the mayoral race in Los Angeles, the largest city in California. 

The top three contenders include current Mayor Karen Bass and city councilmember Nithya Raman – both democrats – and former reality TV villain Spencer Pratt, who is a registered Republican but is running as an independent. 

After a recent surge, Pratt is now close in the polls with Raman, behind Bass who still leads. 

“It’s usually the case that the incumbent wins no matter what, hands down,” California Post city hall reporter Jamie Paige said. “And if Spencer Pratt did not enter this race, that probably would have been the case.”

Watch the latest episode of our series California Explained above for a breakdown of exactly why this election season is so gripping and unpredictable, and how increased competition could change the future of California for the better.

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