THE BEST GAMES TO BET

GIANTS at EAGLES

1 p.m., Eagles favored by 7, Over/Under 44

HANK’S HONEYS: Despite Jalen Hurts delivering a standout performance last week, the Eagles’ season hasn’t consistently reflected the strength expected of them, making this spread seem rather generous. The Giants, sitting at 2-5, have had moments where they could have easily flipped their record to 5-2 with just a bit more fortune. That heart-wrenching fourth-quarter collapse from last week might just fuel their determination, as they recognize their potential for better. The reigning Super Bowl champions have yet to find their stride, struggling to establish their identity on the field. Saquon Barkley is finding it tough to break through due to inadequate blocking, and their defensive line hasn’t imposed itself like it should. We anticipate Jaxson Dart will do enough to keep the contest competitive.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Bet on the Giants and take the under.

JETS at BENGALS

1 p.m., Bengals favored by 6 ½, Over/Under 44

HANK’S HONEYS: The current line has jumped four points since the initial prediction, likely a reaction to Joe Flacco’s showing against the Steelers. However, the Jets’ defense, which struggled for much of the season, has shown signs of improvement over the last fortnight. Conversely, the Bengals’ defense continues to falter, conceding over 30 points on average per game. If the Jets can’t capitalize on this opportunity, they might not find success against any team. Nevertheless, we believe they’ll keep the game close. Notably, the Jets have covered the spread in three out of four games when the underdog by more than a field goal, and that was against teams arguably stronger than Cincinnati.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Bet on the Jets and take the over.

BROWNS at PATRIOTS

1 p.m., Pats by 7, 40 ½

HANK’S HONEYS: Here’s another of this week’s lines that feels too big. We have to pump the brakes on Drake Maye and the surprising Pats. The Titans are the Titans but are the Pats capable of blowout wins over even decent opponents? The Browns defense may be the best that Maye has faced so far. It’s capable of shutting down the run and putting Maye up against a pretty fierce pass rush. Cleveland QB Dillon Gabriel may not have the greatest arm strength but Quinshon Judkins’ emergence allows him to manage the game. Barring turnovers, the Browns should be able to keep this one close.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Browns and the under.

BILLS at PANTHERS

1 p.m., Bills by 7 ½, 46

HANK’S HONEYS: It’s a perfect scenario for the well-rested Bills and Josh Allen. They’ve had two weeks to digest two straight losses and should be dialing up the urgency meter now that they chasing the Patriots in the AFC East. The Panthers’ little run has been impressive and the future looks brighter but losing Bryce Young to a high ankle sprain would be killer. Andy Dalton couldn’t move the ball against the Jets when he came in from the bullpen and the Bills’ D will be dealing with a one-dimensional attack. Meanwhile, Allen can expect to have all day against Carolina’s tepid pass rush. The Cats have faced only two decent QBs this year (Dak Prescott and Drake Maye) and were riddled by both. Lord knows Allen’s due for a huge game.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Bills and the over.

DOLPHINS at FALCONS

1 p.m., Falcons by 7 ½, 44 ½

HANK’S HONEYS: Somehow, Mike McDaniel still has his job so we will not be able to use the usual coach being fired bump as expected. That means that the Dolphins will still be the Dolphins, dreadful on both sides of the ball, taking on a team that is certain to be motivated to bounce back after its loss in Santa Clara. The Falcons have been a far better team at home. They have the pass rush to smother Tua Tagovailoa the way the Browns did on Sunday and an array of offensive weapon to expose several mismatches. The Fish are a dead team walking.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Falcons and the under.

49ERS at TEXANS

1 p.m., Texans by 1 ½, 41 ½

HANK’S HONEYS: While Brock Purdy returned to practice this week, his progress with his injured toe seems not what the 49ers hoped it would be. That leaves Mac Jones back there once again against a tough Houston pass defense. The Texans could have issues containing Christian McCaffrey now that George Kittle’s return has improved the blocking but we’re going to back the home team. Keep an eye on Nico Collins’ status but a so-far disappointing C.J. Stroud will have his opportunities against an injury-ravaged D now without its leader in Fred Warner.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Texans and the under.

BUCS at SAINTS

4:05 p.m., Bucs by 6 ½, 46 ½

HANK’S HONEYS: It’s not a good spot for the Bucs with back-to-back road games and their third in four weeks. They’re also on a short week after losing star WR Mike Evans to a broken collarbone in their loss to the Lions. Divisional games tend to be tighter, especially with home dogs, making this line look a bit too high. We can see the Bucs looking ahead to a much-needed bye and just trying to get out of town with a win. Spencer Rattler has been shaky for sure but after a sloppy game in sloppy Chicago conditions, we look to the New Orleans D to keep the Saints inside the number.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Saints and the under.

TITANS at COLTS

4:25 p.m., Colts by 14 ½, 47

HANK’S HONEYS: The Titans won’t fare any better against the league’s most productive offense than they did in their 41-20 loss in the first meeting. They are porous against the run between the tackles and that is the office of the league’s leading rusher, Jonathan Taylor. With no other choice but to bring up a safety, they will be exposed to the play action passing machine known as Daniel Jones. The Colts are hurting in the secondary and have been yielding plenty of passing yardage, which should drive this blowout over the total.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Colts and the over.

PACKERS at STEELERS

8:20 p.m., Packers by 3 ½, 45

HANK’S HONEYS: Aaron Rodgers faces the Packers for the first time since his departure in a game that’s hard to figure because both teams seem overvalued. The Steelers’ 4-2 record has been built against some mediocre to weak opposition (Jets, Pats before they turned the corner, Vikings and Browns). The Packers, meanwhile, have been underachieving since their first two impressive wins. If Jacoby Brissett could light up their defense, a motivated Rodgers should as well. With that said, we should see some back-and-forth fireworks here. We like the over … a lot.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Steelers and the over.

COMMANDERS at CHIEFS

Monday, 8:15 p.m., Chiefs by 9 ½, 48

HANK’S HONEYS: Fortified by the return of Rashee Rice, the Chiefs are feeling like their old selves. Washington has a suspect defense that has looked awful slow. The Commanders can’t stop the run and you know what Patrick Mahomes can do when he sees a safety up in the box. K.C.’s run defense has been a weakness but the drop off from Jayden Daniels to Marcus Mariota is considerable. That will give Steve Spagnuolo opportunities to scheme a game plan that will test Mariota’s poise when Spags brings the heat.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Chiefs and the over.

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LOOK BUT DON’T TOUCH

COWBOYS at BRONCOS

4:25 p.m., Broncos by 3, 51

HANK’S HONEYS: This Cowboys’ offense looks unstoppable. Dak Prescott is having his best season, and combined with what Javonte Williams brings on the ground, it’s the most-balanced attack in the NFL. Jaxson Dart made the Broncos’ supposedly elite defense look ordinary last week. However, how much emotional currency did Denver’s miracle win earn? This is Denver’s second straight home game after a rough scheduling stretch. The Broncos should have their legs back. If the Denver D takes umbrage and Bo Nix can pick on the shabby Cowboys secondary (Washington’s receiving corps was all on the injury list last week), the Broncos can easily cover this FG spread.

CAN’T HELP YOURSELF?: Broncos and the over.

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BEST OF THE REST

BEARS at RAVENS

1 p.m., Ravens by 6 ½, 50

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Ravens and the over.

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WEEK’S BEST BET: Broncos. The momentum continues.

LAST WEEK: 9-6; OVER/UNDER: 11-3

OVERALL: 54-53-1; OVER/UNDER: 56-50-1

BEST BETS: 6-1