Ex-FBI official flags possible scam as third alleged Nancy Guthrie letter emerges

The recent offer of a $1 million reward by the Guthrie family is designed to exert “psychological pressure” on anyone who might have information about Nancy Guthrie’s disappearance, according to a retired FBI agent.

On Tuesday morning, Savannah Guthrie took to Instagram to announce the substantial reward for information leading to her mother’s recovery. Alongside this, the family has pledged a $500,000 donation to the National Center for Missing and Exploited Children. “It’s been 24 days since our mother was taken from her bed in the middle of the night,” Guthrie shared emotionally. “Each hour, minute, and second has been pure agony, but we hold on to the belief in miracles. Hope fuels more hope, and as my sister says, we are nurturing the flickers of hope.”

In her heartfelt message, Savannah Guthrie acknowledged the grim possibility that her mother, Nancy, might not be alive. “We are also aware that she could be lost, perhaps she has already found her peace,” she reflected. “She may be in heaven, dancing with her mom, dad, her cherished brother Pierce, and our father.”

Meanwhile, FBI agents are actively canvassing neighborhoods near Nancy Guthrie’s residence in Tucson as the investigation into her disappearance continues. She was last seen on a Saturday night, adding to the urgency of the ongoing search. A poignant photo, provided by NBC, shows Nancy Guthrie and her daughter Savannah, capturing the bond between them.

Split image FBI investigators tucson and nancy and savannah guthrie

FBI agents canvass homes near Nancy Guthrie’s home in Tucson, Friday, Feb. 6, 2026. Guthrie was last seen on Saturday night as an investigation into her disappearance continues. (L) A portrait of Nancy Guthrie and Savannah Guthrie shown in a photo provided by NBC.  (Kat Ramirez for Fox News Digital; Courtesy of NBC)

“We also know she may be lost,” Savannah Guthrie said. “She may already be gone. She may have already gone home to the Lord that she lives, and is dancing in heaven, with her mom and her dad and with her beloved brother Pierce — and with our daddy.”

Sources with knowledge of the family’s thinking told Fox News Digital that the Guthries initially brought up the idea of an increased reward funded by the family, but were advised by law enforcement to hold off as “doing so earlier might overwhelm the infrastructure set up to field leads, tens of thousands of which have been coming in organically.” 

Retired FBI Agent Jason Pack told Fox News Digital the new reward by the Guthries has the potential to make a massive impact on the investigation. 

Investigators searching the grounds of Nancy Guthrie's property in the Catalina Foothills.

A member of the Pima County sheriff’s office remains outside of Nancy Guthrie’s home, Monday, Feb. 9, 2026 in Tucson, Ariz. (Ty ONeil/AP Photo)

“It applies psychological pressure on any accomplices. Ransom schemes involving multiple people are inherently unstable. The more time passes, the more the financial disparity between holding out and collecting $1 million starts eating at the weakest link,” he said. “The message is: your partners are not going to protect you. We will. It preserves moral offramps.”

Pack added that the increased reward could pit suspects’ family inner circle against each other, potentially leading to a break in the case.

“The $1 million announcement is also a direct market disruption. The FBI has a $100,000 reward. 88-Crime is at $102,500. By introducing a private family reward at $1 million, the Guthries just changed the calculus for anyone sitting on information: a driver who saw something, an accomplice having second thoughts, a family member of the suspect weighing loyalty against a million dollars. That is a number that can fracture criminal conspiracies,” Pack said.

A view from a doorbell camera showing an armed individual outside the residence of Nancy Guthrie in Tucson, Arizona

Photos released on Feb. 10, 2025, show a “subject” on Nancy Guthrie’s property.  (Provided by FBI)

“A million-dollar announcement generates a new news cycle and sends people back to their phones scrolling through memories of anything unusual they saw in the Catalina Foothills in January,” he added.

Investigators haven’t yet publicly identified a person of interest or suspect in Nancy Guthrie’s abduction. Since releasing doorbell video of a masked individual at Nancy Guthrie’s door before she was believed to have been taken, investigators have been trying to identify clothing that the person was wearing, as well as other items.

Nancy Guthrie and Savannah Guthrie posing together for a photo.

An undated photo of Nancy Guthrie and Savannah Guthrie provided by NBC in repsonse to the disappearance of the 84 year-old mother of the Today Show host. (Courtesy of NBC)

Sources told Fox News Digital that one of the Nest doorbell cameras released by the FBI was taken on a different day than the others.

Pima County Sheriff Chris Nanos pushed back, saying reporting on the dates of the images are “speculation.”

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