In a significant development, thousands of Kurdish fighters initiated a ground offensive in Iran on Wednesday, according to various reports. This move comes amid speculation that both Israel and the United States are hopeful that this armed ethnic minority could play a crucial role in toppling the Islamist regime.
The Kurdish forces are strategically positioned along the Iran-Iraq border, where their primary militias are stationed. Their objective is to exert pressure on Iran’s already stretched security forces, as reported by the Jerusalem Post.
By launching this offensive, the Kurdish fighters aim to divert Iran’s military and security capabilities, potentially paving the way for a domestic uprising within the country, sources indicated to the publication.
However, it remains uncertain whether the well-equipped Kurdish militias from the semi-autonomous Iraqi Kurdistan will participate in the offensive.
Contrary to some U.S. intelligence reports suggesting Iraqi Kurdish involvement, Aziz Ahmad, a senior official in Iraq’s Kurdish region, has denied any movement of Kurdish fighters across the border into Iran.
On the same day, the president of Iraq’s Kurdish region engaged in discussions with Iran’s foreign minister, affirming a commitment to “cooperation.”
The deployment comes after all six of the major political factions representing Kurds in Iran joined a new coalition on Wednesday aimed at forming of an autonomous territory within the country, the groups’ leadership announced.
With more than 35 million people spread across the Middle East, the Kurds are perhaps the largest stateless ethnic group in the world.
The Kurdish people predominately live in Turkey, Iraq, Syria and Iran, with more than 8 million living in Iran, about 10% of the total population.
The Kurds, however, have long faced oppression at the hands of Tehran, which has spent decades trying to erase Kurdish culture.
“The Kurdish groups see what’s happening now as an opportunity in Iran to unite and stand for self determination,” Hewa Khalid, a Kurdish studies expert at Indiana University, told The Post.
“The future depends on who comes to lead Iran and how they respond to the demand of the Kurds. We could see a Kurdistan operating within Iran, or you could see the next Yugoslavia,” Khalid warned, referencing the violent division of the former Soviet state.
The Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan is reportedly leading the way, with the militias speaking with the Trump administration in recent days on whether, and how, to attack Iran’s security forces amid the ongoing war, officials told Reuters.
Despite decades of repression, the Kurds remain one of the most organized and well-armed opposition groups in Iran â united by their ethnic identity, with militias based in neighboring Iraq.
Kurdish fighters notably fought with the US against Saddam Hussein in Iraq, with the former dictator accused of attempting an ethnic genocide against the Kurds in the late 80s.
Kurdish militias also took on Islamist insurgents during as the US tried to stabilize the country.
The Kurds also helped in the fight against the Islamic State in Syria.
While the full size of the Kurdish militias remains unknown, major political parties have touted that they have thousands of fighters available.
Reports of their direct involvement in the war comes after Israel conducted airstrikes against Iran’s military bases and police stations in Kurdish-majority cities, paving the way for an uprising, the Wall Street Journal reported.
Attacking Iran’s forces is a big gamble to the Kurds.
Failure would result in yet another brutal crackdown at the hands of Tehran, said Jon Alterman, a Middle East expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS).
Experts have warned that Kurdish forces alone are likely not enough to overthrow the Iranian regime.
“If the regime is still stable after this, Iran will go after the opposition, and that would be bad for the Kurds,” Alterman added. “We’ve already seen Iran’s security forces show that they are willing to fire at Iranians.”
The Kurds have been previously left to fend for themselves by the US as recently as this year when America dropped its support for the population in Syria.
Despite the previous breakdown in relations, the successful formation of a Kurdish sector in Iraq may have led the Iranian Kurds to gamble on the US one more time, said Shukriya Mahmmoodee Bradost, a Middle East security expert.
“Many don’t see what happened as a betrayal and remember how the US helped the Kurds in Iraq, Bradost said. “Their hope is for federalism and autonomy in Iran, and they will fight for that.”
With reports emerging of the US and Israel communicating with the Kurds, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has issued a warning of harsh retaliation, with a drone strike on a militia base in Iran leaving two Kurdish fighters injured on Wednesday.
âThe continuation of the Americansâ deceit in the region will end at the cost of the collapse of all military and economic infrastructure in the region,â the IRGC said in a statement.
The arming of the Kurds also represents a headache for Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan, as Turkey has spent decades fighting Kurdish separatists.
