Iran’s Strait of Hormuz blockade fuels global oil market concerns as Trump admin meets execs
Jonathan Hunt reports live from London, detailing Iran’s aggressive maneuvers in the Strait of Hormuz that have drastically cut commercial shipping traffic by 95%. In response, Mohamed El-Erian, Chair of Gramercy Funds Management, offers insights into the resulting turmoil in the global oil market, where crude oil prices are on the rise. Meanwhile, the Trump administration convenes with oil industry leaders, as international allies, including Japan and several European countries, issue a united statement pledging their commitment to maintaining secure passage through this crucial maritime corridor.
The ongoing crisis in the Strait of Hormuz is prompting countries to explore alternative trade routes from the Gulf to Europe. At the forefront of these efforts is Iraq’s ambitious $24 billion “Development Road” project, an initiative highlighted by industry analysts.
According to Muhanad Seloom, an analyst with the Middle East Council on Global Affairs, the new route, which extends from Iraq’s Grand Faw Port through Turkey to Europe, is progressing steadily and is seen as a “permanent” and “transformative” change in response to wartime challenges. Seloom shared these insights with Fox News Digital.
These developments coincided with President Donald Trump’s stern warning to Tehran against further escalations in the Gulf. Trump emphasized that the U.S. is prepared to take action to ensure the Strait of Hormuz remains open for international shipping.
Currently, Iranian forces have deployed mines and issued threats to commercial vessels navigating this strategic passage. As of Sunday, the vital shipping route remains effectively shut down.
Amid these tensions, a man is seen walking along a road during a sandstorm in Basra, Iraq, on March 4, 2022. (Photo by Hussein Faleh/AFP)
“Iraq’s Development Road means every container moving through Basra instead of Iranian-controlled waters is a reduction in Tehran’s leverage over Iraq,” said Seloom.
“The real scale, independent estimates put the Development Road closer to $24 billion, and the project is now moving with discipline,” he said.
Iraq’s Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani inaugurated the first 63-kilometer stretch of the Development Road in 2025. Phase 1 is due for completion by 2028.
“What was described by the Iraqi government as a flagship of Iraqi statecraft now has a regional rationale that governments and financiers treat as essential rather than aspirational,” Seloom, an assistant professor at the Doha Institute for Graduate Studies, explained.
“Sudani seems to be positioning Iraq exactly where he thinks its geography always suggested, as a connecting state between the Gulf, Turkey and Europe,” he said.
Cargo ships are anchored in the Gulf near the Strait of Hormuz as seen from northern Ras al-Khaimah, United Arab Emirates, on March 11, 2026. (REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo/File Photo)
But other regional infrastructure, Seloom says, is also being pushed forward in parallel.
Saudi Arabia’s East-West Petroline pipeline is operating near its 7 million-barrel-per-day capacity, with expansion plans under review.
The UAE’s ADCOP pipeline to Fujairah is also at maximum use, with a second line under discussion, he said. “Turkey’s Zangezur and Middle Corridors bypass Iran via the Caucasus and are four to five years out.”
He added: “Six Gulf-backed overland fiber projects are also underway through Syria, Iraq and the Horn of Africa.”
Iran reimposed closure measures on the Strait of Hormuz on April 18, reducing traffic to just a handful of vessels per day compared with a pre-war average of roughly 130 to 140.
The restrictions, including on ships, have come under fire in recent days, and interceptions trace back to the start of the war on Feb. 28, when Tehran first moved to block transit following U.S.-Israeli strikes.
Maps4Media processed and enhanced Sentinel-2 satellite imagery shows a broad view of the Strait of Hormuz between southern Iran and Oman’s Musandam Peninsula, including surrounding islands, coastal terrain, and turquoise shallow-water zones at the entrance to the Persian Gulf. (Maps4media via Getty Images)
“Hormuz remains indispensable for energy, but it is no longer treated as a default. That shift is permanent given the war,” Seloom said.
For Iraq’s corridor, it is “potentially transformative,” Seloom said, with $4 billion per year in projected transit revenue and a repositioning from an oil rentier state to a logistics state.
“Turkey will be the single largest beneficiary. Combined with the Zangezur and Middle Corridors, Ankara becomes the overland bridge between Asia and Europe,” he said. “Europe will have an additional overland option on a 2028-plus timeline, but nothing for the current crisis. It marginally reduces structural dependence on the unreliable Suez–Red Sea axis.”
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