Poll: Jewish Voters Favor Republicans Over Democrats Nearly 2-to-1

Republicans hold a 31-point advantage over Democrats among Jewish voters in the congressional ballot, according to a McLaughlin & Associates poll that suggests a possible political shift among a group that has historically supported Democrats by wide margins.

The survey found that 64 percent of Jewish voters preferred Republican candidates for Congress, compared with 33 percent who backed Democrats. Pollsters John and Jim McLaughlin reported the findings in an article published by the firm Monday.

Such a result would represent a sharp departure from the longstanding Democratic advantage among Jewish voters. However, the McLaughlins cautioned that the poll included only a small sample of Jewish respondents, making the figures less certain.

McLaughlin & Associates surveyed 1,000 likely voters nationwide ahead of the midterm elections. Jewish respondents made up four percent of the sample, but the firm did not provide their exact number or calculate a margin of error specifically for that subgroup.

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Other data has pointed to a narrowing Democratic edge among Jewish voters in New York. CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten said this month that Democrats’ lead among Jewish voters in the state’s House ballot contest had fallen from 49 percentage points in 2022 to 13 points this year.

The McLaughlin survey also measured congressional preferences among voters from other religious backgrounds. Protestants favored Republicans by 51 percent to 43 percent, while Catholics narrowly supported GOP candidates, 48 percent to 46 percent. Evangelical Christians, a category that overlaps with other Christian groups, backed Republicans 56 percent to 37 percent.

Democrats held a 51 percent to 43 percent advantage among respondents who identified as secular, atheist, agnostic or religiously unaffiliated. Muslim voters favored Democrats 63 percent to 37 percent, although they represented only two percent of the survey sample.

The McLaughlins said the Republican advantage among Catholics was considerably smaller than former President Donald Trump’s 20-point margin with the group in 2024. They also contrasted the GOP’s eight-point lead among Protestants in the new poll with Trump’s 27-point advantage among Protestants and other Christians in the 2024 exit poll.