Trump signals new trust in Erdogan, raising concerns over Turkey’s ambitions in Gaza and beyond

At a gathering in Sharm el-Sheikh, President Donald Trump expressed his approval of the recent ceasefire agreement in Gaza, highlighting Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan as a key figure in the negotiation process. Trump lauded Erdogan for his influential role in achieving the ceasefire.

“I’ve known this man for quite some time,” Trump commented, referring to Erdogan. “For some reason, I have a preference for strong leaders over those who are more pliable. This individual from Turkey ranks among the most influential globally. He’s a formidable presence — but also a friend.”

Throughout the conflict, Erdogan had been vocal in his criticism of Israel’s military operations in Gaza while simultaneously advocating for Hamas contrary to U.S. policy. Interestingly, he had previously refrained from taking a prominent diplomatic role in resolving the conflict.

Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan during Gaza signing.

Turkey’s President, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, was photographed holding a signed document at a summit aimed at ending the lengthy Israel-Hamas conflict in Gaza following the recently brokered ceasefire. This event took place on October 13, 2025, in Sharm El Sheikh, Egypt. (Suzanne Plunkett/Pool via AP)

“One has to consider what’s shifted,” a former senior Israeli intelligence official remarked to Fox News Digital. “What brought him back to the forefront of power two years on? The pivotal moment was him seated next to Trump at the United Nations — that’s when the groundwork was laid. Why did Trump choose to have him there? It’s probable he was advised, ‘He’s the key to bringing Hamas to the table.'”

The accolades from Trump highlighted a strengthened rapport between the U.S. and Turkey. However, reports from Turkish media indicated that Erdogan was reluctant to touch down in Egypt until he was assured that Israeli leader Netanyahu, who had been personally invited by Trump, would not be at the summit. Erdogan consented to land only after this was confirmed.

“It was classic Erdogan theater,” said Sinan Ciddi, senior fellow and director of the Turkey Program at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. “He likely knew Netanyahu was expected, especially because the U.S. president was there. But refusing to land until Netanyahu was out gives him domestic political capital and boosts his image across parts of the Muslim world.”

Ciddi also recalled a moment he said was telling about Erdogan’s public posture. He referred to an appearance on Fox News where Erdogan stated, “I don’t consider Hamas to be a terrorist organization, but a resistance movement,” adding that he made the remark on American cable television, on American soil, “without facing repercussions.”

President Trump and President Erdogan in Egypt.

President Donald Trump greets Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan during a summit to support ending the more than two-year Israel-Hamas war in Gaza after a breakthrough ceasefire deal, Monday, Oct. 13, 2025, in Sharm El Sheikh, Egypt.  (Evan Vucci AP Photo/ Pool)

Ciddi said Erdogan’s ambitions now go far beyond diplomacy. “He wants Turkish construction companies to rebuild Gaza, Turkish troops to take part in any enforcement mission, and Turkey to serve as guarantor for the Palestinians,” he said. “That would give Ankara both economic and political leverage — contracts for its companies, troops on the ground, and a seat at every table discussing Gaza’s future.”

But Ciddi also explains Turkey’s ambitions in Gaza are part of a wider strategic calculus. “Trump’s demands from Erdogan regarding the F-35 were not just predicated on Gaza,” he said. “They included ending Turkey’s energy dependence on Russia, addressing the S-400 missile issue, and playing a constructive role in stabilizing Gaza.”

He added that Erdogan has so far resisted parts of that package, “But by helping Trump deliver a ceasefire, Erdogan is trying to rebuild trust with Washington — and prove that Turkey can once again be a useful NATO partner.”

Avner Golov, vice president of Mind Israel think tank, told Fox News Digital that “From Israel’s perspective, an Iranian land bridge from Tehran westward through Iraq, Lebanon, Syria and Israel must not exist. Iran remains the biggest challenge,” Golov said. “But into that vacuum we now see the Muslim Brotherhood axis led by Turkey and Qatar. Qatar brings the money; Turkey brings influence as a regional power.”

United Nations General Assembly

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a multilateral meeting on Gaza with several Muslim country leaders during the 80th United Nations General Assembly at the UN Headquarters in New York, United States, on September 23, 2025. (Photo by Celal Gunes/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Golov, who previously served as a senior director at Israel’s National Security Council, added that Washington’s early effort to center the post-war framework on Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates has faded. “In the current deal, the big winners are not the UAE and Saudi Arabia, which would have served Israel’s interests, but Turkey and Qatar,” he said. “Before the deal, Erdogan was already a major player, and yesterday he used a veto — Trump invited, and Erdogan vetoed. Those who didn’t want Erdogan on the Syrian Golan Heights will get him in Gaza.”

He said Israel and the U.S. should counterbalance Ankara’s rise by re-energizing cooperation with the Gulf. “Israel has what Qatar and Turkey don’t — technology and credibility,” Golov said. “If Israel links its innovation with Gulf energy and resources, it can build a regional hub that strengthens the pro-American camp and weakens both the Muslim Brotherhood and Iran.”

President Donald Trump talks with Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the Knesset,

Netanyahu praised Trump as Israel’s “greatest friend” in Knesset speech.   Monday, Oct. 13, 2025, in Jerusalem. (Kenny Holston/Pool via Reuters)

A former Israeli official said Washington should treat Turkey and Qatar as stakeholders, not neutral mediators. “They promised to dismantle Hamas together with Egypt,” he said. “They are not mediators — they are owners of the business. They have to deliver.”

Ciddi remains skeptical that Israel will accept any Turkish uniformed presence. “In Israel’s eyes, Turkish forces in Gaza would be a pathway to re-legitimizing Hamas,” he said. “That’s a hard line.”

As the ceasefire takes hold, Erdogan’s dramatic delay in the sky has already delivered what he wanted most — a starring role. What happens next will determine whether Turkey turns that spectacle into real power, or whether Israel and Washington find a way to keep him grounded.

Fox News Digital asked the Turkish Embassy in Washington, D.C., for comment, but none was provided.

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