Generic street scenes in Siidney CBD
Share this @internewscast.com
Australia would suffer a sharp recession under a prolonged war in Iran, according to an Oxford Economics report released as US President Donald Trump declared plans for three more weeks of intensified attacks.
The report ran a scenario where the global conflict continued and kept the Strait of Hormuz disrupted for six months, finding world growth would slow by 1.2 per cent and oil prices would rise above $US150 ($218) per barrel.
This would push global inflation to 7.7 per cent, near the 2022 peak.
Generic street scenes in Siidney CBD
Australia could suffer a sharp recession under a prolonged war in Iran, according to an Oxford Economics report.(AP)

“Gather some long-overdue courage, head to the Strait, and claim it. Safeguard it, and utilize it for your advantage.”

“While avoiding a recession is preferable, if taming inflation proves difficult, we may have to confront such a possibility,” she remarked at the time.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers has tried to downplay the risk of a recession, but has admitted that the longer the global conflict continues, the longer it will take for the economy to recover.

“The more prolonged the shock, the more severe the repercussions on our economy, impacting inflation, growth, and the labor market,” he stated during a press conference yesterday.

“I would like to remind everyone that we’re facing this significant global economic challenge from a position of genuine relative economic strength.”

Australia’s most recent technical recession took place during the initial six months of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, disrupting nearly three decades of continuous economic growth.

Prior to that, the last recession was the “recession we had to have” in the early 1990s.

Before that, the last recession was the “recession we had to have” in the early 1990s.

A recession is most commonly defined as two consecutive quarters of negative growth in real GDP but the RBA notes it can have other, broader elements.

Australia’s latest unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted) was 4.3 per cent in February, rising from 4.1 per cent in January. 

While the figure alone is relatively low, it has been tracking upwards since October 2022.

The highest unemployment rate in the past decade was 7.4 per cent in June 2020 during the pandemic.

NEVER MISS A STORY: Get your breaking news and exclusive stories first by following us across all platforms.

Share this @internewscast.com
You May Also Like

Unseen Struggles: The Forgotten Plight of Protesters Amidst the Chaos of War

Warning: This piece discusses violent content. In Melbourne, Emilia Nazari is gripped…
Pictured: Melbourne coach Craig Bellamy gives forward Joe Chan (left, in the No.11 jersey) a severe dressing down at halftime of the team's loss to the Warriors on Saturday night

NRL Coach’s Dressing Room Outburst: Footy Legend Slams Public Shaming of Star Player

Former Warriors star and current television analyst Shaun Johnson has criticized Craig…

Artemis II Crew Celebrated Upon Return from Historic Lunar Mission

In brief The Artemis II crew took centre stage at Ellington Field…
Michael Angok was arrested at Seven Hills in Sydney's west this afternoon.

Sydney Police Apprehend Gang Rape Suspect Following Intense Five-Day Manhunt

A manhunt for a convicted gang rapist who reportedly escaped from immigration…
Generic image of a mother and child crossing the road.

Unveiling the Crisis: Thousands of Australian Children Trapped in Institutional Housing

Nearly 5000 children are stuck in institutional housing as Australia’s adoption rates…
Trump threatens Strait of Hormuz blockade after ceasefire talks fail

Trump Warns of Strait of Hormuz Blockade Amid Ceasefire Negotiation Breakdown

Before the onset of hostilities, former President Donald Trump aimed to gain…

Pakistan Stages Historic Diplomatic Breakthrough: US-Iran Dialogue at Unprecedented Heights

In a surprising development, Pakistan has positioned itself as a mediator between…
Residents forced inside as massive battery fire breaks out

Urgent Alert: Massive Battery Fire Triggers Evacuations, Residents Urged to Stay Indoors

A lithium-fuelled fire has erupted at a Perth recycling plant, sending toxic…

Overnight Tragedy: Hopes Shattered as Bombs Strike Amid Home Clean-Up Efforts

The people of Lebanon dared to let hope flicker for the first…

Melbourne Woman Ildi Calls for Change in Hungary’s Leadership: Why She Opposes Viktor Orbán

This Sunday marks a significant moment for Hungary as its citizens head…
Petrol prices Australia

Australian Government Launches $20M Initiative Encouraging Reduced Fuel Usage

The federal government is rolling out a $20 million fuel-saving campaign to…

Rescue Efforts Intensify for Missing Hiker in Victorian National Park

A large-scale search operation is currently underway for an individual named Andy,…