UFC Fight Night --  Jack Della Maddalena vs. Carlos Prates: Fight card, predictions, odds and expert picks
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In an eagerly anticipated showdown, Jack Della Maddalena and Carlos Prates are set to face off in Australia as the main event of UFC Fight Night this Saturday. Both fighters are known for their striking prowess in the welterweight category, promising an electrifying encounter.

Della Maddalena (18-3) is stepping back into the octagon for the first time since his defeat by Islam Makhachev for the UFC welterweight title. The loss was a decisive one, impacting his reputation, but Della Maddalena is determined to make a strong comeback. Transitioning from a bout against a dominant grappler to one against a fellow striker presents a unique challenge. Armed with a top-tier training team, he is gearing up to take on one of the division’s most formidable knockout specialists.

“He’s a fighter who can really lay you out,” Della Maddalena shared with CBS Sports. “Staying alert and concentrated is key. While being defensive is crucial, I can’t just retreat into a shell. I need to be proactive, bringing my own offensive game, as that’s what will secure the victory.”

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Striking the right balance between attack and defense is critical for Della Maddalena. Reflecting on his previous fight, he acknowledges that complacency against Makhachev was a mistake he won’t repeat. The bout taught him valuable lessons that he intends to apply this time around.

“I realize now that my footwork was lacking. There were moments on the ground when I was overly defensive, too focused on avoiding submission rather than creating chances to escape and counterattack,” Della Maddalena explained. “I needed to be more aggressive and look for opportunities to get back on my feet. It was about making the right decisions and not being trapped in a defensive mindset.”

Prates (23-7) isn’t buying the idea that Della Maddalena is spoiled goods. He’s keenly aware that Della Maddalena made tactical errors against a generational talent. 

“Makhachev is one of the best fighters. He is a two-division champ,” Prates told CBS Sports’ Brian Campbell. “I think [Della Maddalena] did maybe a wrong strategy, but it is what it is. Makhachev is good. That’s why I’m expecting the best version of JDM right now. Probably, he’s going to come angry and hungry. He just lost his belt and wants a run back to the title.”

Prates is already a prolific finisher, less than two years into his UFC run. He’s in the top 10 all-time for welterweight knockouts and could tie the No. 5 spot if he lays out Della Maddalena. A big win puts him within striking distance of a title shot. 

“I heard about Makhachev and Ian Garry on Aug. 15, I think, two days before my birthday,” Prates said. “I hope to be there watching that fight and challenging the champ after the fight. Definitely, after I beat JDM, the second champ I’m going to beat in a row, I’m going to be next.”

In the co-main event, Quillan Salkilld aims to break into the lightweight elite. Salkilld is quickly becoming one of Oceania’s bigger names after notching CBS Sports’ 2025 KO of the Year. He’ll be ranked next week if he can put away perennial contender Beneil Dariush. That’s easier said than done. 

Dariush might be on a decline, but lightweight veterans are tough customers. Justin Gaethje, King Green and Renato Moicano, the latter of whom Dariush recently beat, have spoiled the rise of younger lightweights in the Paramount era. Dariush plans to do the same.

Let’s take a look at the rest of the fight card with the latest odds from DraftKings before getting to a prediction and expert pick on the main event below.

UFC Fight Night card, odds

Carlos Prates -118

Jack Della Maddalena -102

Welterweight

Quillan Salkilld -455

Beneil Dariush +350

Lightweight

Steve Erceg -238

Tim Elliott +195

Flyweight

Brando Pericic -142 Shamil Gaziev +120 Heavyweight
Tai Tuivasa -218 Louie Sutherland +180 Heavyweight

UFC Fight Night viewing information

Date: May 2 | Start time: 7 a.m. (Main Card) | 4 a.m. (Preliminary Card)
Location: RAC Arena — Perth, Australia
Stream: Paramount+ (subscribe now for as low as $8.99 per month)

Prediction

Jack Della Maddalena vs. Carlos Prates: Two sensational strikers duking it out at the top of a division? Good luck finding a better Fight Night main event. Della Maddalena is the superior boxer. Prates switches between two styles: a Muay Thai stance and traditional kickboxing. Prates, a southpaw fighter, often gives up outside lead foot position in favor of proximity. He relies on head and trunk movement for protection to set up close-range kill shots. That’s a high-risk approach against Della Maddalena, the superior close-range fighter. We’ve seen athletes successfully blitz Prates at boxing range, putting his heavy back foot off balance. Della Maddalena has the skills to exploit that. Against the fence, Prates often shells up with a high guard. That works in kickboxing, but MMA’s four-ounce gloves make it hard to block punches that way. If Della Maddalena backs him up, he can shred him apart. 

Prates is most effective at covering range. He masterfully hides his punches behind kicks, using his legs to protect himself and mask the incoming punch. Weaponizing his five-inch reach and two-inch height advantage is key against Della Maddalena. Prates’ power is an instant tide turner. Less than two years into his UFC run, Prates is already tied for No. 7 all-time for most welterweight KOs. That always makes rooting against him difficult. However, Della Maddalena has more tools to win this fight standing. If they fought 10 times, Prates would score a few KOs. But, on average, Della Maddalena seems to have more at his disposal. Pick: Della Maddalena via unanimous decision

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