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In a recent strategic shift, Russia altered its lineup for the latest trilateral negotiations with Ukraine and the United States in Geneva. This move comes amid renewed airstrikes by Moscow, which highlight the formidable challenges faced by those involved in the peace talks.
While the initial rounds of discussions were labeled “constructive” by all parties, primarily due to their emphasis on military rather than political issues, Russia’s decision to appoint Vladimir Medinsky, a top aide to President Vladimir Putin, as the lead negotiator, has raised eyebrows. A U.S. official expressed concern, suggesting that this change might not be conducive to finding a resolution.
In contrast, the delegations from the United States and Ukraine have remained consistent with their previous representatives. The American team includes Special Presidential Envoy Steve Witkoff, Jared Kushner, Gen. Alexus Grynkewich of the U.S. European Command, and Army Secretary Dan Driscoll. On the Ukrainian side, Rustem Umerov, former defense minister and current secretary of Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Council, continues to lead the efforts.
As negotiations resumed, Umerov conveyed a measured optimism, emphasizing that Kyiv is approaching the talks with a constructive and focused mindset, albeit without inflated expectations. The discussions aim to address critical issues such as territorial disputes, security guarantees, and mechanisms for implementation, with an inclusion of humanitarian topics.
“We have frameworks sanctioned by the President of Ukraine and a clear mandate,” Umerov shared on social media platform X. “Our goal is to progress toward solutions that can pave the way for lasting peace.”
“We have the frameworks approved by the President of Ukraine and a clear mandate,” he wrote in a post to X. “Our task is to maximally advance those solutions that can bring sustainable peace closer.”
The talks come days before the fourth anniversary of Russia’s 2022 invasion and amid a push for a rapid settlement to overcome deeply entrenched positions — particularly Moscow’s demand that Ukraine surrender remaining territory in the eastern Donetsk region, which Kyiv has rejected.
Over the past two months, Russia has lost more troops than it has been able to replace, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio estimating Moscow’s losses at roughly 35,000 in December and 30,000 in January — more than the US lost during the entire Vietnam War.
Ukrainian losses estimated to be far fewer — with units across the battlefield reporting casualty ratios ranging from five to 20 Russians per Ukrainian.
Still, Moscow has shown no signs of giving up its fight — launching 29 missiles and 400 drones at targets across Ukraine just hours before negotiations began, damaging energy infrastructure and leaving tens of thousands without power and heat, officials said.
“This very clearly demonstrates what Russia wants and what they are up to,” Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said in a statement. “The threat of strikes does not disappear. Cold weather in itself attracts Russia, and they will continue to try to put winter at the service of war.”
The onslaught came after President Trump struck an optimistic tone on Monday, previewing the “big talks.”
“It’s going to be very easy,” he told reporters. “Ukraine better come to the table fast. That’s all I’m telling you. We are in a position, we want them to come.”
Discussions are expected to continue Wednesday.