Generic street scenes in Siidney CBD
Australia would suffer a sharp recession under a prolonged war in Iran, according to an Oxford Economics report released as US President Donald Trump declared plans for three more weeks of intensified attacks.
The report ran a scenario where the global conflict continued and kept the Strait of Hormuz disrupted for six months, finding world growth would slow by 1.2 per cent and oil prices would rise above $US150 ($218) per barrel.
This would push global inflation to 7.7 per cent, near the 2022 peak.
Generic street scenes in Siidney CBD
Australia could suffer a sharp recession under a prolonged war in Iran, according to an Oxford Economics report.(AP)

“Gather some long-overdue courage, head to the Strait, and claim it. Safeguard it, and utilize it for your advantage.”

“While avoiding a recession is preferable, if taming inflation proves difficult, we may have to confront such a possibility,” she remarked at the time.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers has tried to downplay the risk of a recession, but has admitted that the longer the global conflict continues, the longer it will take for the economy to recover.

“The more prolonged the shock, the more severe the repercussions on our economy, impacting inflation, growth, and the labor market,” he stated during a press conference yesterday.

“I would like to remind everyone that we’re facing this significant global economic challenge from a position of genuine relative economic strength.”

Australia’s most recent technical recession took place during the initial six months of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, disrupting nearly three decades of continuous economic growth.

Prior to that, the last recession was the “recession we had to have” in the early 1990s.

Before that, the last recession was the “recession we had to have” in the early 1990s.

A recession is most commonly defined as two consecutive quarters of negative growth in real GDP but the RBA notes it can have other, broader elements.

Australia’s latest unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted) was 4.3 per cent in February, rising from 4.1 per cent in January. 

While the figure alone is relatively low, it has been tracking upwards since October 2022.

The highest unemployment rate in the past decade was 7.4 per cent in June 2020 during the pandemic.

NEVER MISS A STORY: Get your breaking news and exclusive stories first by following us across all platforms.

You May Also Like

Heartbreak and Grief: A Mother’s Emotional Tribute to Kumanjayi Little Baby

On Thursday night, a poignant scene unfolded across the nation as parks,…

Legal Victory: AFL Legends Cleared of Affray Charges, Restoring Reputations

Two AFL champions have been cleared of any involvement in a Boxing…

Trump Denounces Iranian Attacks as Leadership by ‘Lunatics

Donald Trump has commented on the recent tensions between the United States…

Ed Sheeran Set to Pocket £12 Million: Inside the Closure of His Touring Empire

Ed Sheeran is poised to receive a substantial windfall of £12 million…

Archibald Prize Winner Captures the Soulful Gaze of Pitjantjatjara Elder

Australia’s most esteemed art accolade has been awarded to a portrait of…

Tragic Eruption in Indonesia: Volcano Claims Three Lives, Leaves Others Trapped

A volcanic eruption killed three people and triggered a rescue operation to…

Rebel Wilson Defamation Case: Closing Arguments Highlight Accusations of Deception and Anxiety

A burgeoning talent in the entertainment world finds herself embroiled in controversy,…

Climactic Confrontation Looms in Rebel Wilson’s Intense Dispute with Co-Star

The curtain is falling on a whirlwind courtroom drama involving Hollywood’s Rebel…

Keir Starmer Confronts Pivotal Challenge as Discontent Rises Within Labour Party

In brief UK Labour faces heavy losses in local polls across England…

Julie Bishop Resigns as ANU Chancellor Amidst Ongoing Controversy: What’s Next for the University?

Julie Bishop has reportedly stepped down from her position as chancellor of…

Journalists Expelled from One Nation Event Amid Controversial Remarks: ‘Come on, Sweetheart

Video footage from 9News captures a moment when a One Nation volunteer…

Top Insights from the Initial Week of the Royal Commission on Antisemitism

In Breif The royal commission’s first week of hearings was dedicated to…