China's Moonshot AI unveils Kimi K3 that rivals OpenAI, Anthropic

National security issues remain around Chinese AI models, says Constellation Research's Ray Wang

Chinese startup Moonshot AI has introduced Kimi K3, a new artificial intelligence model that the company says narrows the performance gap with top U.S. systems and even beats OpenAI and Anthropic’s strongest models in select benchmark tests.

Moonshot said Friday that Kimi K3 does not yet surpass Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 or OpenAI’s GPT 5.6 Sol in overall performance, but the model consistently ranked ahead of other systems included in its evaluations.

According to the company, Kimi K3 outperformed Claude Opus 4.8 and GPT 5.5 — models positioned just below the most advanced offerings from Anthropic and OpenAI — across several benchmarks, including coding and general agent tasks.

With 2.8 trillion parameters, a measure of the scale of its neural network, Kimi K3 is now the largest AI model developed in China to date.

“Despite persistent hardware/compute capacity constraints in China, K3 demonstrates that pre-training scaling, paired with architectural innovation, can still deliver step-change gains for flagship Chinese models,” Bank of America analysts wrote in a note led by Alex Liu.

The launch lands at a time when competition between the United States and China over artificial intelligence leadership is becoming increasingly intense.

Chinese AI systems have begun attracting more interest from Western businesses as their performance improves and their costs remain lower than the most advanced models produced by U.S. labs. At the same time, U.S. lawmakers are weighing ways to limit the adoption of Chinese AI models by American companies.

Another DeepSeek moment?

Patrick Moorhead, CEO and chief analyst at Moor Insights and Strategy, described the market response to Kimi K3 as “an over-reaction shockingly similar the DeepSeek panic.” In a post on X, he acknowledged the model’s progress but cautioned that “We are far away from super-intelligence.”

Moorhead said in the post that large language models, or LLMs, like Kimi K3 will only “accelerate and grow the inference market faster than without,” underscoring a general shift in the tech sector from merely focusing on the size and presumed capabilities of a model by itself to the overall application that the technology powers.

Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas told CNBC last week that there’s more focus from startups and developers to figure out the best methodologies for using AI models that can power their apps, instead of squarely focusing on one gigantic, underlying system.

That’s part of the reason why the freely available OpenClaw technology became so popular with developers earlier this year. The so-called harness lets coders more easily swap in and out various AI models that power digital assistants so they can take a series of actions without needing to rely on one single LLM by itself.

“The model alone is no longer the product,” Srinivas said at the time. “It is the harness, the orchestration system that puts the model inside a very capable harness and pairs the model with a lot of tools.”

Moorhead attributed what he believes to be an overreaction to Kimi K3’s release to politics, telling CNBC in an email that “There’s a big debate in Washington DC about whether the U.S. should use Chinese open source models and if U.S. companies should enable the Chinese to use their models.”

“The latter is ironic as the Chinese seem to be doing fine with their models,” Moorhead said.

Lu Zhang, the founder and managing partner of the Fusion Fund, said that despite the widespread attention models like Kimi K3 can receive, most of the developers that use the technology are “from the startup ecosystem, less from the large corporate side.”

These coders will often swap one AI model out when there’s a more powerful version available or at least one that’s cheaper and more efficient to run in their respective apps, she explained.

And while these AI models may seem extremely powerful at first glance, they are not “plug and play” and they require a lot of technological know-how from developers to actually make use of their underlying capabilities, Zhang said.

Although general discourse involving the open-weight AI model space can often involve the broader “narrative of U.S.-China competition,” Zhang said that there are several U.S. companies that are increasingly debuting open-weight AI models.

Two of those are Thinking Machines and DeepReinforce, which is backed by Zhang’s fund.

She said it was only a matter of time that a more advanced open-weight AI model captured the zeitgeist, given how fast the overall space is moving.

Similar to how the debut of DeepSeek’s R1 AI model in 2025 generated attention for presumably being more cost-efficient relative to proprietary technologies, the current hoopla over Kimi K3 can be attributed to rising concerns about AI’s overall cost and ability to generate returns on investment.

Simon Koser, the chief product officer at the AI startup Tzafon, said that Kimi K3 is legitimately impressive in that it is performing well in areas like coding, and developers at AI labs could find it compelling.

“Cost has become a huge thing for some of these labs,” Koser said, underscoring how AI leaders like Anthropic and OpenAI may feel some pressure from cheaper AI models being available on the market.

Still, there are many ways to use the technology, and not every AI model excels in every task despite what the initial benchmark tests may show. Certain AI models may react differently when put in production versus when they are tested, and there’s no true jack-of-all-trades AI model that’s superior to everything else on the market.

“It’s going to seem like a lot of people are changing,” Koser said. “But in practice, I’m not sure if the shift is that huge.”

China’s AI shock

Founded in 2023, Beijing-based Moonshot AI is one of China’s leading model builders. It raised $2 billion at a more than $20 billion valuation in May, Bloomberg reported.

Backers include Chinese tech giants Alibaba, which makes the Qwen series of AI models, and Tencent.

Chinese AI rivals’ shares dropped on news of the release. Z.ai, which released a new model to much fanfare in June, saw its stock plummet 28% on Friday. MiniMax Group, another Chinese model company, fell 16%.

“K3 raises the capability ceiling for China AI models, shifting the burden of proof to other independent AI labs,” said Liu.

Earlier this week, Alibaba saw its stock buoyed by news that it was partnering with Apple in China. However, shares dropped 4% Friday.

“For Alibaba, while it benefits from broad AI training/usage growth for its cloud service given tight compute environment, Alibaba Qwen’s “open-source leader” narrative may face some tests,” said Liu.

Chinese President Xi Jinping pitches China as leader of new global AI order

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