Oddsmakers don't believe in Aaron Rodgers' steelers
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Oddsmakers are low on the Steelers’ 2025 chances with Aaron Rodgers in the fold. 

Even with the major enhancement at quarterback, Pittsburgh’s projected win total for the season remains at 8.5, which aligns closely with their usual season-ending record over the past few years.

They are favored in just six of their 17 games at DraftKings Sportsbook — and those are against some of the NFL’s worst teams. 

The Steelers face negative odds in matchups within their division against the Browns, in away games with the Jets, and home games against the Seahawks, Colts, and Dolphins.

They aren’t favored by seven or more points in any of those games. 

Vegas bookies didn’t budge after months of flirtation between Rodgers and the Steelers came to an end last month.

Before officially signing Rodgers, the Steelers were +4500 to win the Lombardi Trophy at BetMGM Sportsbook, the 17th-best odds in the league.

That number didn’t budge after finally landing Rodgers, suggesting oddsmakers assumed all along the ex-Jets QB was heading to Pittsburgh.


New Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers during minicamp at UPMC Rooney Sports Complex on June 12, 2025 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
New Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers during minicamp at UPMC Rooney Sports Complex on June 12, 2025 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Getty Images

They are also +145 to make the playoffs and a +600 long shot to win the AFC North at BetMGM.

The Steelers are hoping Rodgers can get them over the hump a near-decade of playoff incompetence.

Pittsburgh has lost six straight postseason games, including a wild-card round loss in four of the last five seasons.


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The future Hall of Famer joins Pittsburgh after an underwhelming 2024 season with the 5-12 Jets, where he accumulated 3,897 passing yards, 28 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions.

He replaces Russell Wilson, who is likely to take the starting job with the Giants.

Rodgers will have a new Steelers receiving corps to throw to after the franchise traded for star pass-catcher D.K. Metcalf and dealt away George Pickens to the Cowboys.

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