Washington — President Trump is expected to use the opening of NATO’s summit in Turkey on Tuesday to renew his demand that alliance members raise defense spending to 5% of gross domestic product.
His push comes as the United States gradually shifts some military assets out of Europe, while fresh tensions with Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and his continued interest in acquiring Greenland have rattled European partners. Mr. Trump has repeatedly cast doubt on NATO’s value and long-term strength, leaving the 32-member alliance bracing for his next remarks.
The choice of Ankara, Turkey’s capital, as the summit venue carries added significance. Even as relations with several European governments have grown more difficult, Mr. Trump has cultivated a closer relationship with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan during his two terms in office. Turkey has belonged to NATO since 1952, but it remains one of the alliance’s more complicated members, given its economic ties with Russia and persistent concerns over systemic human rights problems.
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte visited Mr. Trump at the White House last month in advance of the gathering.
Citing a range of high-stakes issues facing the alliance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio described the summit last month as “probably the most important meeting in NATO’s history.”
Defense spending
Mr. Trump has for years criticized NATO members for what he sees as insufficient defense spending and excessive dependence on U.S. military power and infrastructure built up after World War II. Since his first term, he has pressed allies to devote more of their national budgets to defense.
At the 2025 NATO summit last year in The Hague, alliance members agreed to work toward spending 5% of GDP on defense by 2035 — a major increase from the earlier 2% benchmark and a shift driven in large part by Mr. Trump’s pressure campaign.
“Our goal continues to be shifting the burden of the conventional defense of Europe to our European allies and Canada,” U.S. Ambassador to NATO Matt Whitaker told reporters on a preview call Sunday. “The United States remains a proud NATO member, and I continue to show up every single day doing the important work at the alliance on behalf of President Trump, but we have responsibilities elsewhere in the world, as the world’s only superpower.”
That push to boost other countries’ defense spending and encourage “burden-shifting” will be a top focus of the president in Ankara, Whitaker said.
“Poland, the Nordic countries, the Baltic countries lead the way, and Germany is on track for the 5%, reaching it in 2029, but many others are lagging behind, and President Trump expects all allies to step up immediately, and not only get on a sustainable path to the 5% but get to 5% as soon as possible,” he said.
The U.S. currently spends roughly 3% of its GDP on defense.
Whitaker told CNBC any uncomfortable moments over the defense spending push are simply “growing pains,” as the United States does “less” in NATO.
Mr. Trump has offered harsher words for NATO members that he believes aren’t carrying their weight. Earlier this year, the president criticized Spain for opting out of the 5% commitment, threatening to “cut off all trade” with the country.
Reduced U.S. military footprint in Europe
A slow reduction of the U.S. military footprint in Europe goes hand-in-hand with the expectation that NATO countries spend increasing portions of their GDP on defense.
The Pentagon has already announced a plan to withdraw about 5,000 U.S. troops from Germany, as well as reductions in fighter jets, tanks and other equipment.
“Both our national security strategy and our national defense strategy talk about the priority we’re placing on burden-shifting in Europe, and that more capable allies in Europe will allow them to meet threats that exist in Europe that they’re perfectly able to meet, and that will allow us to focus elsewhere,” a senior U.S. official told reporters on a call on the condition of anonymity Sunday. “And so, there should be no surprise that we’re doing a posture review, or surprise that that posture review very, very well may lead to us adjusting our posture, because we’re trying to shift the burden to Europe, and we’ve been very specific about that in our major strategic documents.”
Greenland
Mr. Trump hasn’t given up his hopes of acquiring Greenland, which is problematic for NATO given that Greenland is a semi-autonomous territory within NATO member Denmark. Both Greenland and Denmark are staunchly opposed to the idea.
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The president’s quest has aggravated not just Greenland and Denmark, but the other Scandinavian countries and much of Europe. The Trump administration’s military campaigns in Venezuela and Iran have taken the focus off Greenland, for now, and Mr. Trump said earlier this year that using military force to take over Greenland wasn’t on the table, but that doesn’t mean the president has forgotten about the Arctic island.
The U.S. official told reporters on that call Sunday that acquiring Greenland would still be the best way to defend the U.S. and other NATO countries, although the administration is exploring other options.
“We still think that’s the best way to meet the defense needs of NATO with respect to Greenland,” the senior U.S. official said of the U.S. acquiring Greenland, “but we’re also exploring with them all other mechanisms to address those concerns. But to emphasize, there really is no disagreement amongst any NATO ally about the importance of defense considerations of Greenland. It’s about how to solve them, and how to solve them permanently.”
Tiff with Italy’s prime minister
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, once one of Mr. Trump’s favorite foreign leaders, has quickly fallen out of favor with the U.S. president.
Last month, Mr. Trump claimed Meloni “begged me to take a photo with her,” but said he doesn’t want her as a “fan” because she was insufficiently supportive of the Trump administration on the Strait of Hormuz and Iran. In response, Italy’s foreign minister canceled a planned U.S. visit.
Meloni herself said the president’s words “stunned” her, and criticized Mr. Trump for his behavior toward his own allies. But Mr. Trump hasn’t let go of the spat. On Sunday, without any context, he posted an image of himself and Meloni with the caption, “RESTRAINING ORDER NEEDED.”
That could make things awkward in Ankara.
The Strait of Hormuz
The security of the Strait of Hormuz is a top issue for European allies, many of whom are far more reliant on Middle Eastern oil than the U.S. Shipping traffic through the strait is recovering, after the U.S. and Iran agreed to reopen the waterway as part of a 60-day memorandum of understanding last month, but shippers are still wary.
U.S.-Iran talks during the fragile ceasefire are on pause for the multi-day funeral of Iran’s late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, killed in the initial strikes.
On Monday, Mr. Trump said the U.S. will win the war with Iran “one way or the other.”
“We’re either going to make a deal, or we’re going to finish the job,” he said in the Oval Office. “It won’t be tough to finish the job.”
Mr. Trump has been frustrated that European allies haven’t joined him in fighting Iran, and insists they haven’t done enough to help reopen the strait. When he visited the White House last month, Rutte repeatedly made the case to Mr. Trump that European allies, although they hadn’t done enough, have been helping the United States in its endeavors in Iran.
Ukraine
Mr. Trump, according to the latest schedule, is expected to meet with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on the sidelines of the summit. Mr. Trump has long said that he thinks both Russia and Ukraine want to make a deal, but more than four years into Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, a resolution remains unclear.
Zelenskyy and NATO’s European members, which are much closer to the war than the U.S., will be sure to bring up the latest concerns at the summit.
