Rising Odds for Tropical System Formation in the Gulf

Just a few days after the first tropical storm of the 2025 hurricane season emerged in the Atlantic, there could be another weather disturbance forming closer to Florida.

On Thursday, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) revealed that tropical development appears to be forming in the Bay of Campeche.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) reports that an area of showers and thunderstorms is currently moving across the northwestern Caribbean Sea. This system is expected to continue its west-northwest path by Saturday.

The NHC forecasts that a low-pressure system could form after that time if the system remains over water.

As of 8 p.m. on Thursday, the chance of tropical formation sits at 10% through the next 48 hours, and 20% through the next week.

Thanks to its orientation, though, the system isn’t expected to hit Florida, even if it does develop further.

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Tropical Storm Andrea formed deep in the Atlantic on Tuesday, becoming the first named storm of the season. However, it dissipated shortly afterward.

The National Hurricane Center also notes that in a typical year, the tropical Atlantic sees its first named storm by June 20, the first hurricane by August 11, and the first major hurricane by September 1.

The next named storm will be Barry.

Hurricane season runs through Nov. 30.

Keep up-to-date throughout hurricane season by visiting ClickOrlando.com/hurricane.